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Best time to buy: when interest rates are low or high?

By
Services for Real Estate Pros with John Henry Masterworks Design International, Inc. 13013

In a Washington Post article today, about predictions of the market for 2019, I read an interesting post, and wonder what AR members think:

"I do remember being told it was a great time to buy because interest rates are low.  In the back of my mind, I thought:  the great time to buy is when interest rates are high.  The purchase price goes down, and you can re-finance that low principal mortgage when rates go down.  

When you buy a property at low interest rates and relatively high principal, you cannot re-finance.  In fact, if interest rates go up, you are then stuck in your current property, and probably are underwater or near underwater.   

When housing prices start dropping, the market tends to fall quickly and deeply.  Who wants to buy a house to be underwater for ten years?  Even this slight uptick in rates caused anxiety."

 

Comments(13)

Michael Jacobs
Pasadena, CA
Pasadena And Southern California 818.516.4393

Good morning, John -the time is right when you are ready and prepared. 

Jan 08, 2019 07:18 AM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Michael Jacobs Some wait for the 'opportune time', whenever that is!!

Jan 12, 2019 03:37 PM
Patricia Feager, MBA, CRS, GRI,MRP
DFW FINE PROPERTIES - Flower Mound, TX
Selling Homes Changing Lives

John Henry - What you described about being "underwater or near underwater" is especially true for people who bought new construction in 2007. 

It's a very interesting article you wrote and something to pay attention to as well. 

Jan 08, 2019 08:52 AM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Thanks for your comment Patricia Feager, MBA, CRS, GRI,MRP 


2007 was a bad year to buy high as things just went south after that.

Jan 12, 2019 03:37 PM
Ron and Alexandra Seigel
Napa Consultants - Carpinteria, CA
Luxury Real Estate Branding, Marketing & Strategy

John,

Like Michael Jacobs said when you are ready to buy regardless of interest rates or any other blah, blah.  And yes, it is blah blah aka excuses.  A

Jan 08, 2019 12:38 PM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Ron and Alexandra Seigel Yes, I see your point.  Thanks

Jan 12, 2019 03:38 PM
Hannah Williams
HomeStarr Realty - Philadelphia, PA
Expertise NE Philadelphia & Bucks 215-820-3376

John Henry  I just had this conversation and I agree with Patricia Feager, MBA, CRS, GRI,MRP  many people who bought way back when interest rates were high (18% ) when they went to refinance discovered they had a pre-penalty clause in their mortgage and it was pretty hefty too

Jan 08, 2019 12:47 PM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Hannah Williams , yes those penalty clauses did no one good if they were going to play this game of low interest high home prices and vice versa.  Thanks

Jan 12, 2019 03:39 PM
Patricia Feager, MBA, CRS, GRI,MRP
DFW FINE PROPERTIES - Flower Mound, TX
Selling Homes Changing Lives

John Henry - to pick up where Hannah Williams left off, I had two buyers (both new construction) in 2007 when the market took a sharp hairpin turn shortly thereafter. The stress level on both buyers was severe. One continues to live in the house and made it through the toughest times of their life. The other couple had a bad taste in their mouth and as soon as the market started to shift into a more positive direction for them and they were out of the woods, they asked me to list and sell it. I did and they bought another home, thankfully with me. 

Everything that Hannah brought up is true! Homeowners were trapped in a neverland situation. No matter what decision they made, it cost them plenty and tremendous stress. Agents were helpless, working harder than ever to help them get out of their rabbit holes. I pray we never see days like that again or anything worse. 

Jan 08, 2019 03:05 PM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Hi Patricia Feager, MBA, CRS, GRI,MRP Thanks for adding your hands on experience about this troubling time.  I hope it is not repeated.  I think measures are in place to prevent that...

Jan 12, 2019 03:45 PM
Francine Viola
Coldwell Banker Evergreen Olympic Realty, Olympia WA - Olympia, WA
REALTOR®, In Tune with your Real Estate Needs

What stood out to me is the assumption that if interest rates are high, home prices are lower.  That's not always the case but interest points here and love the comments!

Jan 08, 2019 06:19 PM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Thanks Francine Viola for making your point about the relationship between interest rates and home prices.  It depends on local markets but in general low interest rates seem to start the buying which tends to raise home values too, correct?

Jan 12, 2019 03:46 PM
James Dray
Fathom Realty - Bentonville, AR

Morning John.

Just because interest rates rise doesn't (in all cases) demand that prices go down. IMHO, it all depends on the local market

Jan 09, 2019 01:04 AM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Hello James Dray  , yes, you are CORRECT sir!!

Jan 12, 2019 03:58 PM
Debe Maxwell, CRS
Savvy + Company (704) 491-3310 - Charlotte, NC
The RIGHT CHARLOTTE REALTOR!

I agree with Patricia Feager, MBA, CRS, GRI,MRP 100% - Some of the new construction, purchased in 2007 has just recently shown some good escrow, allowing owners to sell and buy again. Sadly, many are choosing new construction once again. 

If you don't have plans to stay put for 10 years (and sometimes we never know), a resale is the smarter choice - regardless of the interest rates, John.

As for pre-payment penalties - thankfully, those have been done away with for years now, allowing for those who purchase at high interest rates to take advantage of a future lower rate.

Jan 09, 2019 06:46 PM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Debe Maxwell, CRS Thanks for your input Debe!  You folks are the pros here!

Jan 12, 2019 03:59 PM
Laura Cerrano
Feng Shui Manhattan Long Island - Locust Valley, NY
Certified Feng Shui Expert, Speaker & Researcher

I’ve heard more about low interest rates being the way to go in most contexts in most situations.

Jan 09, 2019 11:48 PM
Roy Kelley
Retired - Gaithersburg, MD

Smart consumers are anxious to take advantage of the current low mortgage interest rates. Higher rates will make it more difficult for many to qualify.

Jan 10, 2019 04:03 AM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Hello Roy Kelley 


We would all like to see interest rates remain reasonable which I think helps the economy stay healthy.  Thanks

Jan 12, 2019 04:00 PM
Peter Mohylsky, Destin BeachPro
PMI. Destin - Miramar Beach, FL
Call me at 850-517-7098

The time to buy is always good.  It is really a personal decision that is very emotional.

Jan 15, 2019 03:02 AM
John Henry, Florida Architect
John Henry Masterworks Design International, Inc. - Orlando, FL
Residential Architect, Luxury Custom Home Design

Peter Mohylsky  Yes, emotion, finance, situation, etc.  all work together.

Jan 15, 2019 08:49 AM
Debb Janes
Nature As Neighbors - Camas, WA
Put My Love of Nature At Work for You

The lower interest rates can mean the difference to those who have very limited budgets to purchase a home. I'm not sure the prices drop dramatically enough to make up the shortfall in their loan approval abilities. But, hey, I guess it could happen.  And, I guess the bottom line, as others have said,  the time to buy is when you can. Regardless. D 

Jan 18, 2019 07:53 AM
John Henry, Florida Architect

Debb Janes EcoBroker and Bernie Stea JD Recent news show that lower interest rates are responsible for a surge in mortgage applications and thus increased real estate transactions.  Good for the new year!  Thx Debb

Jan 22, 2019 05:22 AM