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So Cal RE Market Finding It's Bottom

By
Real Estate Agent with Simple Listing Solutions LLC

The San Diego Chargers appear headed to the Super Bowl and the San Diego housing market appears to have found it's bottom. Forecasting what will happen next is anybody's guess however homes that are a) not condo's and b) not cookie cutter, seem to be selling faster and close to or even above asking price. Today is Monday, December 11th and the interest rate decreases we've been seeing over the past two weeks may be driving some of the recent activity.

As an active, full time real estate consultant with listings and buyers, I can speak from my own experience in saying that business has picked up however, I wouldn't start crowing about it like this unless I was hearing the same thing from the other professionals I interface with at the office, at open houses, on caravans and on the phone.

Due to the fact that condo's have no other way to compete in this market other than by reducing the price, I still feel like there are some great investment opportunity's in this market for buyers with savvy and local knowledge. As a San Diego native and son of a home builder/investor, I've watched massive home value gain and incredible price corrections occur before.

Just when you think, "there's no way those hunks of junk will ever fetch more than $600,000" - there they go! Todays $500k "starter" home in San Diego can reasonably expect to sell for $1,000,000 in the not to distant future when you stop to consider that a buck is no longer worth a buck, it's more like .75 cents. Just wait until a buck is worth about .45 cents and a million dollars for a hunk of junk won't seem like much at all!

Now is a great time to buy if you buy smartly. Smart always has and will always continue to mean location. For those folks seeking to plop down some cash and invest "ahead of the growth curve" Oceanside seems to be a popular and reasonable gamble these days. It's one of (the only actually) coastal city left where you can get reasonably close to the beach (west of I-5) for under a million dollars and even have a yard! Plus, the City is seeing fabulous investments like the Sprinter new light rail train running west to east, a high rise Westin water front hotel and accompanying boutique shops, new bio-tech firms and business parks that are actually filling up with higher paying, white collar jobs and an influx of Orange County buyers who've apparently decided to cash out on their over priced condo's and move down south!

Got a different perspective? I'd love to hear your thoughts and opinions!

Christopher Sylvada
Simple Listing Solutions LLC - Encinitas, CA

I've had more activity (and offers, albeit low-balls) on a current $800k+ Oceanside listing than I've had on 6 other listings combined across the county - really. I think Oceanside is definately pulling from Orange County as well as attracting buyers who see they can pay $650k for a home that would cost $900+ just one or two zip codes south!

Dec 11, 2006 03:29 PM
Brian Brady
Matthews Capital Markets - Tampa, FL
858-699-4590

I agree with the affordabilty in O-side.  I always sound like a broken record when I cite the affordabilty index being low here in SD county (it has crept up to 23%)

Wages up, prices down...something's gotta give to get this market rolling again.  When the affordability index approaches 35%, we'll be a-ok.

Good point about the million dollar starter home.

Dec 11, 2006 04:31 PM
Renée Donohue~Home Photography
Savvy Home Pix - Allegan, MI
Western Michigan Real Estate Photographer
I still personally think we (in Las Vegas) have a couple of months of bottoming out to do.  I am seeing a FLURRY of activity on relo and some boomers calling me this week about buying.  I am a 2007 bull!
Dec 11, 2006 11:49 PM
Brian Brady
Matthews Capital Markets - Tampa, FL
858-699-4590
Oh, I forgot...the other good point was that  the Chargers are going to the Superbowl. 
Dec 12, 2006 01:26 AM