All signs point towards 2012 being a significant year, in terms of the real estate market gaining a lot of clarity with respect to the movement of shadow inventory (foreclosed, bank-owned homes, pre-foreclosures, short sales and homes heading towards a foreclosure "sale date").
If you're a buyer, you have the perfect buyer's storm to navigate through and come out smelling like a rose! Inventory, competition in the marketplace and resulting downward pressures on home values, more short sales, more foreclosures and historically low mortgage interest rates all make for an exciting moment in history to be a buyer in the real estate market! Now is the time for you to find a great house and get a great deal, with a very low mortgage rate and enjoy an affordable house payment!
However, if you're considering selling, you have some very sobering realities headed your way. It is expected that this year we will see lenders begin to push through their shadow inventories more aggressively. This means that you must decide how badly you want to cling to your fantasies that your home is worth "X" and that you won't sell for any price below "X" because you truly know and believe that your home is worth it and you'll get it and you'll enjoy the benefits of holding out if need be, and you'll laugh all the way to the bank! Good luck with that strategy!
The bottom line is that we are coming up on the busier season and you will therefore have more competition on the market. Also, as banks work through the process of either modifying existing loans or encouraging their borrowers to seek a short sale listing or risk being foreclosed upon, you will see a large swell in the marketplace of short sales, and also foreclosed homes hitting the market. This only adds inventory to the marketplace and also puts immense pressures on home values in general, thus making it a challenge for conventional sale hold-outs who insist on waiting for that magical buyer to bless them with a contract sales price of "X", when many similar homes within a half mile radius may actually be selling for "X-20%".
As as seller, I would encourage you to simply be honest with yoursef regarding your overall situation and your ultimate objectives, and then make an informed decision to execute a sales strategy that helps you nail your objectives.
As a seller, are you a conventional sale with substantial equity? If so, and if you do not have to sell but would like to sell, then you have the luxury of holding out for "X" dollars, but don't forget that your home may just sit and bake in the sun as buyers keep moving on and viewing and submitting offers for more competitively priced homes. Whether you like it or not, it's a buyer's market right now!
If you are extremely tight on your equity position, and especially if you have to sell for some reason, you should be consulting with a short sale listing expert, such as myself, so that you can understand what your options are! Trust me when I tell you this; you do not want to start intentionally missing payments because you think that you are supposed to have missed multiple payments before you will ever be approved for a short sale! This is not at all the reality of the marketplace. Missed and/or late payments will damage your credit score! I have personally executed short sales for clients who have never missed a payment and never made a late payment! Provided you can show some form of a hardship that helps the bank to justify the need for and to allow a short sale, then you can get a short sale approved (depending on the lender and the circumstances of the hardship), without ever having missed a payment.
If you are underwater on your home's mortgage, and you can no longer afford the payments, it is extremely wise to seek help ASAP from a short sale listing expert. Do not miss month after month of payments and then decide to seek help once your lender is threatening you with foreclosure! Let me ask you this; would you rather have your lender seek a deficiency judgment against you for $25K or for $50K? Silly question, but that's exactly the potential damage you could be asking for by delaying the execution of a short sale! The longer you wait the more competition on the market and the more downward pressure on your home's value. Let's assume your lender agrees to a short sale and also agrees not to pursue you for any deficiency amount. Now, same question; would you rather your lender issues a 1099 with your name on it to the IRS for $25K or for $50K? That's exactly the risk we're talking about if you delay making an informed decision to pursue a short sale ASAP in today's real estate market.
If you are someone who has waited too long and you have a "foreclosure sale date" set by your lender, then you are obviously in a very difficult position. There is a possibility of a "Hail Mary pass to the end zone", depending on how close you are to the sale date, and your lender's willingness to work with you at this point. You would need to list your home as a short sale immediately, and position it aggressively in the marketplace to secure a contract ASAP and get it, along with a preliminary HUD and all other required paperwork to your lender ASAP. In doing so, your chosen, brilliant short sale listing agent would get on the phone with your lender and respectfully request a suspension of the foreclosure sale date so as to allow the bank to review the short sale offer and paperwork that was submitted. This is a difficult situation and it won't always work. However, I have been able to successfully execute a "5 seconds left in the game, and a Hail Mary pass to the end zone" strategy that resulted in a successful short sale and a foreclosure averted for my seller clients. It's stressful, exhausting and unnecessarily nerve-racking and it can be avoided if sellers simply face reality and seek help earlier than later!
All too often, I see the "conventional sale/strong equity" sellers make a huge mistake by holding out for "X" dollars (an amount at or beyond the highest possible thresholds of current fair market value). It almost always bites them in the end, as they end up conceding and selling for what I told them their home would eventually sell for, and all they did was burn months off the calendar!
Remember, you may not get as much as you wanted in the sale of your home, but if you turn around and leverage the buyer's market in your favor, you'll make up for it on the buy side!
It is critical to understand today's market if you are considering selling your home. Most experts agree that the shadow inventory is going to begin moving through the market this year. Sellers need to make educated, informed and strategic decisions so as to successfully navigate today's challenging real estate market.
Kirk Westervelt, BA, CDPE, SFR, REOS, BPOR
Keller Williams Realty
Greenville, SC
(864) 451-2402
Comments(0)