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By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Richard Bell - Windermere Peninsula Properties

By now we have all heard about the potential of lowering the interest rates on our mortgages. It sounds great and it also seems fair...or does it?

When I read through it I was pleased to see that to qualify the home had to be:

  • Owner Occupied
  • Under the current conforming loan limits of Freddie mac and Fannie Mae currently at $417,000 nationally and $729,750 in specific designated high cost areas.
  • The plan would be there to assist homeowners who were still current
  • Service providers would be screening their portfolios in search of loans that were made to people where over 38% of their income went to pay their mortgage.

On paper it sounds terrific.

What do you think the consequences will be in the real world?

  • The reductions are to be in place for 5 years and then will conform to the current market rate.
  • What will the market rate be in 5 years?
  • House values will stay artificially high due to the number of people staying in homes that they were struggling to keep but may not be able to retain in 5 years.
  • The market can not support those taking advantage of this system in 5 years due to accelerated interest rates. We will be in worse shape than we are right now.
  • How many times can we afford to fix the same problem while we are just recreating it and refusing to allow it to take it's painful - yet due course.
  • Are we really finding a viable solution or trying to place a band aid on an amputation?

Just my humble opinion. Like many of you, I'm just trying to understand some of this Stimulus plan.

 

Michael A. Caruso
Surterre Properties - Laguna Niguel, CA

Hi Richard,

It does seem like the stimulus plan takes a lot of pondering, doesn't it!?

Michael

Feb 21, 2009 06:14 AM
Eric Bouler
Gardner Realtors, Licensed in La. - New Orleans, LA
Listening to your Needs

Its another feel good scheme to delay the fact that many people bought homes thay should not have. It may be in there best interest to just walk away than get caught in another scheme that amy not be that good for them.

Create more buyers on the demand side. Its a joke on the American people especially those of us who did not live in a bubble market where all this money is going. Let the banks work out there own issues.   

Feb 21, 2009 06:34 AM
Richard R. Bell
Richard Bell - Windermere Peninsula Properties - Belfair, WA
Broker-Manager, Allyn - Belfair Washington State Realtor

Great comments guys. I do like Herb's, the "glass half full" comment.

Eric, I have to admit I feel the same way with this whole thing. And Michael, in our office we are also do a lot of "pondering" over the way things are being presented to us.

Mark's "teaser rate" is an interesting  term.

Thanks for the visit and comments.

Feb 21, 2009 07:08 AM
Anonymous
Gina Figueroa- Jefferson, GA

I think its great.  Many folks are stuck due to no fault of their own.  They have fixed, normal interest rates, but perhaps no job stabiltiy or even job loss right now.  Besides- interest rates are now 3% lower than they were for a good qualified buyer 3 years ago. Property values are tumbling. SOMETHING has to be done for those who have been trying to do the right thing the whole time but have had no assistance from anyone- especially the goverment. (Who in my opinion could have avoided this whole thing if they had acted  2 years ago when housing first started to freefall. 

I do not think this stimul;as package overall will do much good. Lord knows the banks aren't going to spread their newfound wealth- but whatever helps joe- average  homebuyer and taxpayer- I'm all for it.

Feb 21, 2009 09:06 AM
#6
Richard Overall
United Country Premier Properties - Harker Heights, TX
Your OVERALL Long-Term Real Estate Resource

One way or another, we must all pay the piper.  What the government has done is effectively extended the inevitable in stead of letting it be done and getting it over with so we can all move on.  I agree some people would be helped in the short term, but eventually it's gonna catch up to them...it has to.  You can run, but you can't hide (at least not forever).  Let the market be and it will correct itself.

Feb 21, 2009 09:08 AM
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
Real Estate Broker Retired

I like the band aid analogy.  It seems like we are just prolonging the inevitable.  38% of their income now for their mortgage payment!  That's 10% or so higher than usual.  Another reason to cash in your chips and move.  You're also right about the home prices will not be adjusted 'correctly' and will do so then again in 2014.  These people are in trouble, will stay in trouble - face it & get out of your house.  I wish I could drive a Jaguar but I don't - but under this plan maybe someone should subsidize ME because I would like too.  Never mind that I can't afford it - I want the American Dream which in my case will be a Jaguar thank you!  Send cash please!

Feb 21, 2009 09:38 AM
Ann deVane
john greene, Realtor - Naperville, IL
Naperville Real Estate, GRI, CNC, CSC, ePRO

As much as I want to sell homes, some folks simply should not be attempting to purchase until they have enough saved to be able to "AFFORD" a home.  Yes, the hard reality is that not everyone can.  Remember a thing called "lay away"?  That unfortunatley was replaced by "Charge It".  Time to get back to basics.  Short term solutions never solve anything, it's only going to delay the inevitable.  I need to get off my soap box, before I regret it.

Feb 21, 2009 11:11 AM
Terrylynn Fisher
Dudum Real Estate Group - BuyStageSell.com - Walnut Creek, CA
HAFA Certified, EcoBroker, CRS, CSP Realtor, Etc.

Interesting analysis.  And it'll be interesting to see how many take advantage of this proposed plan.

Feb 21, 2009 01:24 PM
John McCormick
EXIT United - Las Vegas, NV

"A gentleman quoted me on the floor the other day. Another member took exception and said he objected to the remarks of Professional Joke Maker going into the Congressional Record. They are the Professional Joke Makers. Read some of the bills that they have passed. If you don't think they ain't Joke Makers. I could study all my life and not think up half the amount of funny things they can think of in one Session of Congress. Besides, my jokes don't do anybody any harm. You don't have to pay attention to them. But everyone of the Jokes those Birds make is a law and hurt somebody (generally everybody). I object to being called a Professional. I'm an amateur beside them."

Will Rogers

Feb 21, 2009 04:52 PM
Blowing Rock Real Estate Boone Real Estate
Blowing Rock Investment Properties - Blowing Rock, NC

Thanks for the insight Richard as well as the rest of you that posted comments. It does take some deep thinking and even then there are a lot of different ways to look at it.

Feb 22, 2009 12:32 AM
Kevin Robinson
Twin Falls, ID
Fractional Developer

I can't remember which blog it was or even who said it but the best description of this whole "fix" is this:

We are just kicking the can further down the road.

Feb 22, 2009 01:21 AM
Richard R. Bell
Richard Bell - Windermere Peninsula Properties - Belfair, WA
Broker-Manager, Allyn - Belfair Washington State Realtor

These comments are wonderful. I would like to thank each one of you for visiting. In each comment I have discovered insights, opinion and commentary that I have been listening to locally and now hearing  it loud and clear nationally. I also think that people like you are probably the smartest people in the room. Our politicians should be paying more attention to the those who are truly helping and participating in the Housing market.

Maybe also we should bring the wisdom and humour of a Will Rogers.

Thanks everyone. 

Feb 22, 2009 01:24 AM
Dinah Lee Griffey
Windermere Peninsula Properties - Allyn, WA
Managing Broker Windermere Peninsula Properties

Great insight. I hope that this program helps people. I would love to see Home Owners have time to make a move instead of being forced out all at the same time. The concern is- is it just buying time. If you can't see the writing on the wall then you may just loose it all.

I hope that this plan has more effect than to tell investors to Buy right now and sell in 4 years only to buy in 2014 and hold. We could be helping or we could be awaiting a real disaster that pales in comparison to what we are currently experiencing. I hope for the best-Dinah Lee

Feb 22, 2009 05:41 AM
Gina Zimmerman
North Eastern Group Realty - Fort Wayne, IN
Fort Wayne Real Estate

I worked in Washington, D.C. for twenty years writing legislation. Most of the people drafting legislation don't own a home in DC (can't afford one).  Also, that bill was a compilation of ideas that were cut and pasted.  no one has any idea what is in there.  finally, no one really knows how it will be implemented at the state and local level.  this is craziness!! 

Feb 22, 2009 12:12 PM
Jenny Durling
L.A. Property Solutions - Los Angeles, CA
For Los Angeles real estate help 213-215-4758

It's a sad fact that by the time something becomes law, it is normally watered down tod something pretty useless. I'm hoping that folks who are currently in trouble with their homes will realize that this is not truly a "fix' but a little exra time to get out from under their homes and move on.

Feb 22, 2009 01:16 PM
Anonymous
Anonymous

Gina, I love to hear what ou heard, witnessed and experienced in DC. Thanks for your comment.

The comments coming in are great. This appears to a topic that is on peoples mind.

Feb 22, 2009 02:16 PM
#18
Marian Gregor-Ann
Keller Williams - Ann Arbor, MI
Arbor area Real Estate

Richard, Sure there are those who should not have purchased at all, then there are many who had made timely payments on their modest houses for years only to get laid off. We'll have to see how this plays out.

Feb 23, 2009 10:22 AM
Roland Carrillo, PhD - Mortgage Consultant
Cary, NC

Doesnt it seem that in politics, most "solutions" are to postpone the problem to the next generation?  Social security, Medicare, balanced budgets, car mileage requirements, energy independence, global warming, etc.... No one tries to come up with a fix because it would be expensive and require sacrifices.

Better to patch it up and push it back to the next person.  Most "solutions" look at the 5-10 year time line and after that rely on hand waving or off the wall assumptions about GDP growth and other factors.

Yes there is a positive side to the plan, but many of the problems it just pushes back for 5 years and hopes things are better then.

Feb 23, 2009 10:32 AM
Kristian Schonberg
Windermere Peninsula Properties - Allyn, WA

 

This fix will definitely be something we have not seen before.  The 5 year result will not be great is my prediction.  It opens up quite a bag of worms.  How do you compare loans when there are so many variable forms and options for payment?  I do not see how it would be fair to all homeowners.profile

 

 

 

 

 

Feb 24, 2009 08:15 AM
Dinah Lee Griffey
Windermere Peninsula Properties - Allyn, WA
Managing Broker Windermere Peninsula Properties

I had to read this again. the comments are great. After a week or so it all still seems to be up in the air. We need real solutions not just hype-Dinah Lee

Mar 05, 2009 12:51 PM