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Predictors of the 2011 Real Estate Market Show HOPE

By
Real Estate Agent with Keller Williams Indy NE 317-290-7775 www.marchantteam.com

Lots of folks from NAR to local Boards; from USA today to Business Week are forecasting the 2011 Real Estate market.  I thought I’d throw my hat in the ring as well!  I have opinions too after all.

Probably the two best indicators from what I have read are the Interest Rates and the Consumer Confidence Index.

Interest Rates for 30 year FixedThe graph on Interest Rates shows that they are increasing…big deal I say.  Even if they rise to 5.5% or a tad higher, that is STILL a great rate.   If it were Interest Rates alone that were driving sales, we’d all be too busy to even blog.  They have been great for some time.

So what about the consumer’s confidence?  Where is your confidence?   The retails stats for December showed people are buying more.  GM and Ford look respectable.  My financial advisor told me last night the estimates for the DOW by the end of the year are in the 13,500 range.  Consumer Confidence 3 month average

If we look at the consumer confidence index graph, we can see a bit of an increase…can it continue?

Real Estate is local...I'll say it again...Real Estate is local and if you have confidence, you will increase the confidence of those around you.   I’m not suggesting you create false hope, but I am suggesting you stay well read and understand your market.  Your perspective will be valued as expert.  Don’t miss the opportunity to talk about neighborhoods in your area that are selling well, interest rates that are still very low and economic indicators that speak to increased consumer confidence!

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Other Northside Blogs (Carmel, Noblesville, and Geist)

Fishers Homes for Sale and Real Estate       Fishers Indiana Real Estate Home Values

 Cindy "in Indy" Marchant - Fishers Real Estate Agent
Keller Williams Realty Indy Metro NE
Fishers IN Real Estate Website
317-290-7775

cindymarchant@comcast.net

 

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Nor Yeretsian
Envoy Capitol Realty Inc. - Toronto, ON
Envoy Capitol Realty Inc., Brokerage Toronto

Thanks for the Hope, Cindy in Indy.

cheers

Nor Yeretsian

Jan 12, 2011 11:47 PM
Cindy Edwards
RE/MAX Checkmate - Johnson City, TN
CRS, GRI, PMN - Northeast Tennessee 423-677-6677

Cindy,

I have read these words over and over, and it cannot be said enough!  Real Estate is LOCAL!  Thank you for a great post,

Jan 12, 2011 11:48 PM
Tom Robinson
Keller Williams Realty Kingstowne/Alexandria, VA Office - Fairfax, VA
Experienced Real Estate, Professional Serving No. VA and DC

Cindy, Always great to be positive and I am in your boat. I hope interest rates stay around 5.5 % or less because, as you know, an significant increase in interest rates could keep some buyers from getting financing. The Dow number is sweet too!

Jan 12, 2011 11:50 PM
Dennis Duvernay Broker/Owner
Hillview Realty - Northbridge, MA

Maybe we should say real estate is different for every INDIVIDUAL...then I would feel even more positive....One buyer at a time....

Jan 12, 2011 11:52 PM
Brin Realty Associates Team At Bean Group
Bean Group | Brin Realty Associates - Amherst, NH
Amherst NH homes and Southern NH real estate

Consumer confidence drives the markets, no doubt.  There are some good signs out there, but still worrisome is that shadow inventory.  I am with you Cindy, 2011 is going to be better in some markets, a slow climb, but moving forward nevertheless.

Jan 12, 2011 11:55 PM
Bob Jakowinicz
National Realty Centers Livonia--Bob Jakowinicz - Livonia, MI
Michigan Real Estate Agent-- MI Real Adventures

Things in the Detroit Metro area have been improving.  Our phones are ringing much more for this early in year compared to the past few years.  Overall confidence is growing here

Jan 12, 2011 11:58 PM
Barbara Michaluk
Weichert Realtors | Phone Direct 240-506-2434 | 301-681-0550 office - Silver Spring, MD
Leisure World Specialist / Full Service REALTOR

Yes, real estate is local. Here in Maryland we are very hopeful and thankful that we are in a market that has not been hit as hard as less populated areas of the country. 

Jan 13, 2011 12:05 AM
Liz and Bill Spear
Transaction Alliance 513.520.5305 www.LizTour.com - Mason, OH
Transaction Alliance Cincinnati & Dayton suburbs

Cindy, We're seeing much more activity than we'd normally see in December/January.  Not leading to contracts yet, but still busier than expected (and that's WITHOUT blogging throwing us direct business).

Jan 13, 2011 12:52 AM
Anita Clark
Coldwell Banker Access Realty ~ 478.960.8055 - Warner Robins, GA
Realtor - Homes for Sale in Warner Robins GA

Great advice that is 100% true...real estate is local!  Knowing your market is critical to success, especially when an out-of-town buyer comes in with false perceptions based on where they just came from.  If I can get a home for $40K under asking price in Podunk, why can't I do the same here in Whateverville?!

Jan 13, 2011 12:56 AM
Glenn Roberts
Retired - Seattle, WA

In any market, the hopeful agent can bolster his outlook by looking at the number of sales that have gone pending on any given day. People are buying here, there, and everywhere. Just make the move to be a part of it.

Jan 13, 2011 01:15 AM
Dawn A Fabiszak
Private Label Realty ( Denver metro area, Colorado - Aurora, CO
The Dawn of a New Real Estate Experience!

Cindy ~ well stated.  Your information is easy for anyone to understand.  And Real Estate is LOCAL cannot be said enough.  What happens in Indy, doesn't really affect what happens here in Denver.

Jan 13, 2011 01:45 AM
Lottie Kendall
Compass - San Francisco, CA
Helping make your real estate dreams a reality

Hi Cindy -- I loved this post, and see the same trend here in my area. Suggested and re-blogged.

Jan 13, 2011 03:28 AM
Jason Frey
PureWest, Inc. - Livingston, MT

Cindy you are correct, as the national psyche shifts from a postion of "the bottom was yesterday vs. tomorrow" we are going to see consumer confidence start to increase.  Additionally, with the PE ratio below historic averages and the second lowest interest rates in 100 years we should see the PE ratio climb a push corporate earnings....all good signs.
All best,
Jason Frey

Jan 13, 2011 04:07 AM
Ellie Penaranda
239.776.5077 Downing-Frye Realty - Naples, FL
Naples Florida Real Estate - Waterfront & Beach Co

Cindy, we also feel confident about the direction of our market.  Some good signs including what you mentioned, the low interest rate, increase in consumer confidence, lower inventory and new construction picking up in sales. 

Jan 13, 2011 06:16 AM
Cindy Marchant
Keller Williams Indy NE 317-290-7775 www.marchantteam.com - Carmel, IN
"Cindy in Indy" , Realtor, Fishers Real Estate

Nor...be sure to spread that hope!  lol

Cindy, I agree...and with this national news on Interest Rates and Confidence...we should be able to really capitalize on saying now is the right time!

Tom, the DOW number is what is making me move from bonds back to stocks now!

Dennis, nice add to the post for sure!

Rene, as long as it moves in the right direction, I can be patient on the pace!

Bob...talk about a tough market, Detroit!  Glad to hear things are improving.

Barbara, good to hear, we too weren't hit quite as hard as many.

Bliz...get ready, that blogging WILL deliver soon!

Anita...podunk, whateverville...you crack me up! lol

Glenn, you say it perfectly...be part of it!

Jan 13, 2011 09:24 AM
Cindy Marchant
Keller Williams Indy NE 317-290-7775 www.marchantteam.com - Carmel, IN
"Cindy in Indy" , Realtor, Fishers Real Estate

Dawn...I was trying it out on Active Rain first and now will post something similar to my outside blogs...I'm glad it is easy to understand!

Lottie, thanks so much for both the suggest AND the reblog!

Jason, we speak the same language!

Ellie...our construction sales have been down but last weekend when I was out looking...the Pulte neighborhood had six cars outside of it!  That looks like a good sign!

Jan 13, 2011 09:26 AM
'The Diamond Group' 'A Cut Above The Rest'
The Diamond Group @ Keller Williams - Lubbock, TX
Lubbock Texas Real Estate

Very nice Cindy. Real Estate is local and it is very important to spread the positive aspects of Real Estate in our own markets.  There is so much to be grateful for and I intend to emphasize that

Jan 13, 2011 12:56 PM
Cindy Marchant
Keller Williams Indy NE 317-290-7775 www.marchantteam.com - Carmel, IN
"Cindy in Indy" , Realtor, Fishers Real Estate

Elizabeth and that is why you are so successful!

Jan 13, 2011 11:23 PM
Connie Harvey
Pilkerton Realtors - Brentwood, TN
Realtor - Nashville TN Real Estate

Cindy, I'm feeling really good about 2011. I think it's going to be a good year.

Jan 14, 2011 12:45 AM