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Is This the Next Bubble?

By
Real Estate Agent with Joy Daniels Real Estate Group, Ltd.

Is This the Next Bubble?

An aspiring home owner who can't buy a home becomes a renter.

Today's credit markets have forced many aspiring home owners to become renters. In turn, the rental market has caught fire. By some estimates, there are 2.1 million more single-family homes rented now than in 2006. It's a strong trend. Rents rose nationally 4.7% year over year in August, which builds upon the 5.8% year-over-year rise recorded back in May. In a few markets, Houston and Seattle most notably, rents are up 10% year over year.

Buyers of rental homes (many paying with cash) have soaked up much of the inventory, and to be sure, that's a positive. But many of the people renting these properties would have preferred to buy them themselves, but they were precluded from buying because they were unable to secure financing.

The market at this point is becoming too skewed toward rentals, which is driving up rents at an abnormally fast rate. This isn't a good thing, because abnormally fast-growing rates aren't sustainable rates. Should rents turn south, many of those investment properties will no longer be sound investments, particularly those bought late into the rising-rent trend.

What's more, a neighborhood of rentals isn't as well maintained or holds its value like a neighborhood of owners. A neighborhood of rental homes tends to loose value over time; a neighborhood of owner-occupied homes tends to gain value over time.

The point to emphasis is that we need a lending environment that encourages more of the latter; that is, more owner-occupied buying. To get that, we need a lending environment that encourages profitable, heterogeneous lending. We simply don't have that today.

Buyers in the Central Pennsylvania region should contact Jessica Regan for mortgage assistance and we at Joy Daniels Real Estate Group can find you the home/property that works for your needs.

 

 

 

 

Posted by

Joy

Joy Daniels, GRI, ABR, CSP, e-PRO
JOY DANIELS REAL ESTATE GROUP, LTD
2793 Old Post Road, Suite 200
Harrisburg, PA  17110

(717) 695-3177  office - Call TODAY and let me help you find your dream home!

www.joydaniels.com

Joy@JoyDaniels.com - Email TODAY and let me help you find your dream home!

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Peter den Boer
Atlanta Communities - Woodstock, GA
MBA,GRI, Associate Broker, Realtor

Amen, Joy. Isn't it frustrating to watch these bubbles happen and there is nothing we can do to prevent them?

Sep 09, 2012 10:20 PM
Joy Daniels
Joy Daniels Real Estate Group, Ltd. - Harrisburg, PA

You are so right Peter - it is VERY frustrating!  Of course we all have our ideas, but typically there is NOTHING we can do about them.  I have seen neighborhoods where there were few or no rentals turn into neighborhoods that are not primarily rental homes and often the home owners are our of state and don't see the grass growing, etc. 

Sep 09, 2012 10:23 PM
Daniel J. Brudnok, REALTOR
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services Fox & Roach, REALTORS - Exton - PA License #RS-225179-L / Delaware License #RS-0025038 - Downingtown, PA
SRES, e-PRO,ABR,GREEN,CSP

Hi Joy,

The lending environment has always been the key to home ownership.....the irresponsible practices (greed) that led to the the housing crisis has to be more accountable in the future before the renter's gain confidence and become Buyer's.

Sep 09, 2012 10:36 PM
Michael Jacobs
Pasadena, CA
Pasadena And Southern California 818.516.4393

Joy -- it is about balance in life and in real estate --- personal ownership  of one's home has been thought of as the goal for so many years that when lending became so lax many people became homeowners who were ill-prepared to handle the responsibility.   Now, many communities are confronted with the aftermath.  Not sure there is a right or wrong answer but the point you bring up is an interesting one and one that can have some very long lasting consequences.   

Sep 09, 2012 10:58 PM
Diane Daley
Caron's Gateway Real Estate - Northumberland, NH

We have some inverstors in this area that have purchase many of the foreclosed homes in the area to use as rental units.  They recently started to put a hold on invester pruchasers of these properties for up to 60 days now.

Sep 09, 2012 11:43 PM
Joy Daniels
Joy Daniels Real Estate Group, Ltd. - Harrisburg, PA

You are right Dan - unfortunately greed was a huge part of the decline of our industry.  It is so important for us to find good lenders to help "undo" the damage that was done - but it will definitely take time.

 

I have told my sons for all of their growing up years and that all actions have consequences and often those consequences are long lasting.  You sound just like me in your feedback - thanks Michael.

 

That's an interesting take on this Caron - I didn't realize you could put a hold on invester purchase - is their only way to purchase Cash?

Sep 10, 2012 01:09 AM