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Is the Market Slowing Down in Phoenix?

By
Real Estate Agent with Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 SA5376460000

Market statistics tell a lot about what's going on for buyers and sellers.  Having great reports helps provide the helpful information that home buyers and sellers can use to make important decisions.  These market reports are provided courtesy of the Cromford Report.

 

While we should be viewing our homes as a place to live and not an investment, it's hard not to think of them as investments with the housing recession in the rear view mirror.  

 

Thanks to Debb Janes EcoBroker and Bernie Stea JD  for asking me if our market was slowing down and for providing me with the inspiration for this post.  

 

The following graph is for Sales in all Price Ranges.  Each peak is for the month of May or June, with those months having the most sales of any month in the year, so contracts are written in March or April. 

 

Sales in all Price Ranges, Phoenix, Arizona

 

Sales up to $250,000 have slowed slightly, but that's most likely due to price increases and buyer demand.  Currently we have 15,833 active residential listings for all of Maricopa County, and 26% of them are listed under $250,000.  Our median home price in Phoenix is $265,000.  Inventory is clearly driving the housing market.

Sales up to $250,000 in Phoenix, Arizona

Sales are up 16% for homes selling between $250,000 and $500,000 in Phoenix, Arizona from 2017 through July, 2018.

Sales for $250,000 - $500,000 in Phoenix, AZ

Sales are up dramatically for homes selling between $500,000 - $800,000.  In May, 2018 there were 772 homes selling, as compared to May, 2014 when 343 homes sold!

Sales from $500,000 - $800,000 Phoenix, AZ

For homes selling between $800,000 - $1 million, sales are up 12% from June, 2017 to June, 2018. In June, 2014, 69 homes sold in this price range versus 148 sales in June, 2018, an increase of 54%!

Sales from $800,000 - $1 million Phoenix, AZ

Sales for $1 - $3 million are also up 22% year over year for June.  June, 2018 saw 201 sales, while 157 sales closed in June, 2017.  A very healthy increase. 

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Sales from $1 - $3 million, Phoenix, AZ

Sales over $3 million have increased as well.  This market is a narrower and more volatile market as homes in the Phoenix Metro Area.  There were 109 homes sales for 2018 over $3 million, selling as high as $17.5 million.   Year over year, 91 homes sold over $3 million, with the highest sale being $12.75 million through August 7, 2017. So sales volume is up 17%.  Sales over $3 million, Phoenix, AZ

 

If you're looking for a competent, trustworthy, REALTOR® to help you buy or sell real estate in the Phoenix Metro Area, give me a call for a complimentary market analysis. 

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Sheri Sperry - MCNE®
Coldwell Banker Realty - Sedona, AZ
(928) 274-7355 ~ YOUR Solutions REALTOR®

Hi Jan Green - Our market slows down a little in the summer. I have to wonder how busy it is going to be when the cooler weather starts to come back if it is this busy now!

Aug 07, 2018 07:05 PM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

You aren't kidding Sheri Sperry - MCNE® .  We have pockets in certain parts of town that slow down like ours, namely Carefree when no one is in town LOL! 

Aug 07, 2018 08:14 PM
Tammy Lankford,
Lane Realty Eatonton, GA Lake Sinclair, Milledgeville, 706-485-9668 - Eatonton, GA
Broker GA Lake Sinclair/Eatonton/Milledgeville

I've got to pull my July date tomorrow.  It's been a busy week.  I love that you point out closings are from contracts written the prior couple of months.  Important factor.

Aug 07, 2018 08:44 PM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Thank you for commenting and reviewing Tammy Lankford,   Yes, it makes a big difference.   Didn't use to include that information, but the Cromford Report I subscribe to makes it a point to include details that we exclude, like business days in one month, year over year and how that makes a difference. I can get really technical, thanks to that report!   Good luck with your reports :)  

Aug 07, 2018 09:18 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Jan, nice to see 26% of homes are under $250,000, wish we did.   Affordable housing is getting tougher to find.   Great market update!  

Aug 09, 2018 06:54 AM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

I can appreciate your situation Joan Cox , but those sales aren't very glamorous or in the best areas!  Thank you for commenting!  

Aug 09, 2018 08:11 AM
Myrl Jeffcoat
Sacramento, CA
Greater Sacramento Realtor - Retired

It seems a number of places across the country are experiencing a slow down, as prices have escalated but wages have not.

Aug 09, 2018 08:38 AM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Yes, that is an issue that will cause a slow down in the market Myrl Jeffcoat .  Affordable housing is slipping away.  Our median home price in Phoenix is $265,000 and $465,000 in Scottsdale.  Ugh!

Aug 09, 2018 08:40 AM
Debbie Reynolds, C21 Platinum Properties
Platinum Properties- (931)771-9070 - Clarksville, TN
The Dedicated Clarksville TN Realtor-(931)320-6730

You have a good handle on what is happening in the market. It is interesting to see theat the higher priced homes are seeing increased sales.

Aug 10, 2018 08:59 PM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Thank you Debbie Reynolds !  You're right.  I bet if I break this down into cities it will tell a different story as this is for all of Maricopa County. Sounds like another blog, appreciate that inspiration!  Have a great day :)

Aug 13, 2018 07:26 AM
Joe Pryor
The Virtual Real Estate Team - Oklahoma City, OK
REALTOR® - Oklahoma Investment Properties

In 2004 I started getting a lot of 1031 tax deferred exchanges out of the Phoenix area becasue of rental oversaturation. I still get some but nothing like the bubble years.

Aug 16, 2018 06:21 AM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

You won't see any increase any time soon.  Phoenix was the #2 and #1 county in the US for increase in population.  73,000 people moved here last year and even more will move here this year. in the hey day of 2005-2006 we had 100,000 people moving here a year, we're back to those numbers!  Apartment buildings are going up all over town, but experts say that we will still have a housing shortage in the future.  Hmmm?

Aug 16, 2018 12:00 PM
Sally K. & David L. Hanson
EXP Realty 414-525-0563 - Brookfield, WI
WI Real Estate Agents - Luxury - Divorce

Great to keep an eye on CURRENT...we all know the thing we can count on most in real estate is Change ...great report !

Aug 19, 2018 08:41 AM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Thank you for reading and commenting Sally K. & David L. Hanson !  I appreciate your point of view!

Aug 20, 2018 08:50 AM
Lawrence "Larry" & Sheila Agranoff. Cell: 631-805-4400
The Top Team @ Charles Rutenberg Realty 255 Executive Dr, Plainview NY 11803 - Plainview, NY
Long Island Condo and Home Specialists

Buyers and sellers both appreicate to know how the market is doing in their area of choice. This detailed report will help!

Aug 22, 2018 05:37 AM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Thank you for the read Lawrence "Larry" & Sheila Agranoff. Cell: 631-805-4400 !  It's interesting how our markets can be similar across the country :)

Aug 22, 2018 08:18 AM
Lisa Von Domek
Lisa Von Domek Team - Dallas, TX
....Experience Isn't Expensive.... It's Priceless!

Interesting statistics Jan Green and great information for buyers and sellers in your area...Phoenix is still going strong!

Aug 23, 2018 06:06 PM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Thank you Lisa Von Domek !  During my office meeting today, one of our brokers discussed how they had just been at the Inman conference, comparing Seattle and San Francisco.  Interesting  slow down.  Tom Ferry's advice is to not over spend right now.  So many people suspect a market correction is headed our way.  It's hard to predict with any accuracy, but according to economists, we might be headed that way.  Except for the fact that we are back up to 100,000 people moving here a year!  Stay the course!  

Aug 23, 2018 06:13 PM
Lisa Von Domek
Lisa Von Domek Team - Dallas, TX
....Experience Isn't Expensive.... It's Priceless!

Jan Green If we can prevent the media from causing the same problems they did years ago saying the whole country was in trouble...real estate is market specific, we might be okay...  My market is robust and not slowing

Aug 23, 2018 06:18 PM
Jan Green - Scottsdale, AZ
Value Added Service, 602-620-2699 - Scottsdale, AZ
HomeSmart Elite Group, REALTOR®, EcoBroker, GREEN

Agreed Lisa Von Domek !  The public has a long memory for the past recession.  Good for you!  Dallas has a LOT going on! 

Aug 23, 2018 06:33 PM