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The Bankerment is chasing its tail

By
Industry Observer

The housing market doesn't seem any better today than it was a couple years ago.  As a matter of fact, I think things are getting worse.  There have always been, and there will continue to be families who have unexpected hardships.  Whether medical, business, or domestic, things tend to happen.

In the good old days, most people who suddenly found themselves unable to keep up with payments simply sold their homes and started over.  There were always homeowners who lost their homes through foreclosure, but it was a relatively uncommon occurrence.  With today's continuing drop in home values, an ever-increasing number of people who have life changing hardships are underwater and can't absorb the loss of selling their homes.  Their only hope in preserving a little (not much) dignity and avoiding foreclosure is to attempt a short sale. 

Every time there is another short sale or foreclosure home values take an incremental drop.  Every time values drop, more people hit the flood stage and become at risk of having their homes taken as the result of an unexpected hardship.  This is a cycle that needs to be broken, and absolutely nothing is being done.

Government and some banks are doing things to delay foreclosure on the one hand with trial modifications leading occasionally to a permanent modification.  Permanent modification often is more temporary than some temporary modifications, with the homeowner back in default in a short time. Delayed foreclosures do tend to keep inventory levels lower.

On the other hand, banks and government are taking steps to  increase inventory by encouraging short sales and streamlining the short sale process in some instances.  So, we have a strategy by government and the lending industry that appears designed increase and decrease the number of distressed properties on the market.  Isn't that great?

While the lending industry and government seem to be chasing their tails, they are ignoring the one thing that could possibly help get us through this mess.  Where are the innovative plans to encourage and facilitate sales by the millions of move-up buyers who could turn the ship around?  Yes, many of them are underwater or close to it, and, yes, many of them could afford a higher payment on a move up home.  Immobile desiring move up buyers have to be part of any housing turnaround solution.  The only sound coming from the Bankerment is the sound of silence.

 

Posted by

 Mike Carlier  Lakeville, MN

 

612-916-3033

 

Jerry Murphy, CRS, SRES
Long Realty West Valley - Anthem, AZ
Anthem, Phoenix, and Scottsdale AZ Real Estate

The key to a turn around is simply jobs Mike.  So many people are or have lost their homes due to job loss.  Add to that fact that several million past home owners credit has been wiped out due to foreclosures and/or short sales and you have a HUGE chunk of the population who will not be able to purchase a home for several years down the road.  But again, jobs are the key.  Get people earning GOOD money again, not McDonalds and Wal-Mart money, and we'll see the housing market pick up.  Good post and best of luck to you.

May 30, 2011 10:57 AM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Jerry, thanks for your comments.  Some would say that the key to jobs is housing recovery.  The collapse of the housing industry drove the economic downturn.  What is disturbing is that, every time home values drop a notch, the chunk of past home owners gets larger.

May 30, 2011 11:13 AM
Toni Weidman
Sailwinds Realty - Trinity, FL
20+ Years Selling Homes in New Port Richey, FL

A very good post, Mike. I agree--where is the solution from the lenders. They are more the problem.

May 30, 2011 11:42 AM
Toni Weidman
Sailwinds Realty - Trinity, FL
20+ Years Selling Homes in New Port Richey, FL

I'm suggesting (and reblogging).

May 30, 2011 11:43 AM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Hi Toni, thanks for the comments/suggest/reblog.  Lenders are seldom leaders, and (political) leaders seldom propose real solutions to anything.  First time and investment buyers will not float the housing boat. If we look at who wants to buy and who will probably pay for it too, there is one single group of potential buyers in sight.  Get them in the game or we will continue the downward trend for a long time.

May 31, 2011 02:49 AM