Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months...With Core PCE Prices still showing very mild inflation, the Fed can stay firm in its resolve to keep the Funds Rate at the super low 0%-0.25% level. Economists expect this to remain the case into 2012. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.
Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%-0.25%
| After FOMC meeting on: | Consensus |
| Jun 22 | 0%-0.25% |
| Aug 9 | 0%-0.25% |
| Sep 20 | 0%-0.25% |
Probability of change from current policy:
| After FOMC meeting on: | Consensus |
| Jun 22 | <1% |
| Aug 9 | <1% |
| Sep 20 | <1% |
From my weekly enewsletter INSIDE LENDING, for real estate pros, May 31, 2011
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