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How Bad Can This Market Get??

By
Real Estate Agent with Future Home Realty

The Tampa MLS just announced the numbers for May 2007 for Pasco, Pinellas and Hillsborough counties.  The shocker is that IF NO ADDITIONAL LISTINGS ARE ADDED TO THE INVENTORY...IT WILL TAKE OVER 16 MONTHS to sell off the present inventory.  Almost a year and a half!

crying toddler

  • Homes Closed In May: 2643
  • Homes Placed Under Contract In May:  2844
  • Supply of Homes/Months of Inventory:  16.1 months

 

Peggy Edwards, Realtor
Citrus Park & Westchase, Florida
www.PeggyEdwards.com
(813) 787-2923

 

 

 

Paula Henry
Home to Indy Team @ HomeSmart Realty Group - Avon, IN
Realtor - Indianapolis Real Estate - 317-605-4174
Peggy - The aftermath of the boon years is going to take some time to get through. I feel like grabbing my teddy and retreating sometimes, too! :) Cute picture!
Jun 20, 2007 03:34 AM
Peggy Edwards
Future Home Realty - Westchase, FL
REALTOR - Green Designation, e-PRO, Tampa Bay, FL
Paula:  I think the baby crying will be my new pic for my profile.  Whadda ya think???
Jun 20, 2007 03:58 AM
Dan Homan
Coldwell Banker Ellison Realty, Inc - Ocala, FL

Does that mean pricing is more of an issue than ever?  Is it time for Brokers to take a little more ownership of their listings and start giving back some over priced listings?  Our office tried the homebuyer ready plan, but, most agents in our office don't prepare a CMA anyway.  Of the 5% or less of the listings in our office that are homebuyer ready, most have fudged CMAs to overprice them anyway, because the sign rider looks nice, and it gets you better placement in the company advertising.

 

Jun 20, 2007 04:05 AM
Peggy Edwards
Future Home Realty - Westchase, FL
REALTOR - Green Designation, e-PRO, Tampa Bay, FL
Hi Dan, IMHO (and I haven't been in the business long enough to be an "expert") if a nice looking home is not selling in this market, it is the price.  Plain and simple.  And the sellers just don't want to come down to below what they paid for the home 2 years ago.  I feel sorry for them - lots of them are renting out their houses and waiting for the market to finish its correction.  But it will still be sold at a loss a year from now.  Quite the dilemma.  (maybe I should finish that medical transcription class I started 5 years ago!!!)  Thanks for your thoughtful comment.
Jun 20, 2007 04:26 AM
Paula Henry
Home to Indy Team @ HomeSmart Realty Group - Avon, IN
Realtor - Indianapolis Real Estate - 317-605-4174
Peggy - Great idea on the pic! It is sad to see sellers who bought after the summer of 2005 wait for the prices to come up. If stats hold true, they may be waiting another 10-15 years. Many markets are still correcting. downwards............
Jun 20, 2007 05:38 AM
Jay Beckingham
Christensen Financial Mortgage - Port St Lucie, FL
Seniors ROCK!

you see inventory for over 16 months.

i see a buyers paradise especially if the new tax proposal passes.

2643 sales, 2844 new contracts.

i hope at least 5 of each were yours 

Jun 20, 2007 06:01 AM
Peggy Edwards
Future Home Realty - Westchase, FL
REALTOR - Green Designation, e-PRO, Tampa Bay, FL

Paula, I agree it's going to be a long wait.

Jay:  I LIKE the way you think!

Jun 20, 2007 06:50 AM
Tom Burkett
Charles Rutenberg Realty, Inc. - Tampa, FL

Paula,

We need to be a little more positive here. First off, a healthy market should have about a 5-6 month supply of homes to choose from and a lot of the listings that have hit the market in the last year have been people who don't need to move but were scared of a declining market and were trying to time the market but missed. Now that prices have decreased they have started to take their homes off the market or let them expired unsold and not relist them. Sellers that don't have to sell are simply staying put. The slowdown in the new construction business will also help over time. As long as the economy stays strong and job growth doesn't take a dive we should see a slow turn around sometime next year. So keep your spirits up and use this slow period to sharpen your prop and scrape the barnacles off the haul so when the season to fish is here again you will be ready.

Jun 20, 2007 08:16 AM
Mark Cole
Realty World Executive Group - Orange Park, FL
CRS

It is the same troughout the state.  But the builders are still adding inventory and are still slashing prices.  The real problem is that the buyers will hold back even more thinking those great deals are just around the corner.

Remember that Washington is still saying that the economy is great!

Jun 20, 2007 08:24 AM
Joe Dallorso
Ocala, FL
Ocala Real Estate

Hi Peggy

It's maybe worse uo here. 7100 homes on the MLS & sold 325 in May. It's a great time to be a buyer.

Jun 20, 2007 08:59 AM
Peggy Edwards
Future Home Realty - Westchase, FL
REALTOR - Green Designation, e-PRO, Tampa Bay, FL

Tom:  It's going to be a long wait for many of us.  Thanks for your comment.

Mark:  Wish I was a buyer right now!

Joe:  Sounds like Ocala may be flatter than Tampa right now.

Jun 20, 2007 09:41 AM
Joe Harris
Morgan Financial - Melbourne, FL

Buyers delight, yes.  However, many buyers are still afraid to buy, and are waiting.  Over here in Brevard county, we have been in a tough market that has seen a 20% decline over the last year and a half.  While we still have a huge inventory, homes under the $250,000 mark have started to see their bottoms, and the more expensive homes are still falling.  Now is the time to market hard, and build a solid business!

Joe Harris

Jun 20, 2007 12:41 PM
Jack Haydon
Charles Rutenberg Realty - Clearwater Beach, FL
Clearwater Beach Condos - Real Estate Homes for Sale

Peggy,

Great Post! Yes, it is time to get resourceful and be tough to make sure you get your share of a smaller pie.

Jack 

Jun 20, 2007 02:10 PM
Peggy Edwards
Future Home Realty - Westchase, FL
REALTOR - Green Designation, e-PRO, Tampa Bay, FL

Joe:  I agree - market hard!

Jack:  Absolutely!

Jun 21, 2007 01:13 AM