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December 2011 Southern California Real Estate Market Report

By
Real Estate Agent with North Orange County CA Real Estate Specialists BRE# 01277795

Southern California Real Estate Deals And Steals Were On Everyone’s Christmas Wish List

Well, the numbers don’t lie, but they definitely can confuse. Here’s my take away, in a nutshell:

Real estate investors and vacation home buyers definitely see the benefit in buying right now, and are getting rock bottom deals on Southern California properties.

Although, homes sales did increase from November to December, the number of home sales are still well below average, based on statistical data released by Dataquik, which they’ve been tracking since 1988. And, even though the overall number of sold properties increased, 3 of the 6 Southern California counties saw large drops in sales, as compared to December of 2010.

I believe that below average sales can be attributed to non-investor home buyers that either can’t find what they’re looking for, or can’t get financing, due to the fact that traditional sellers aren’t interested in selling right now, and banks aren’t all that interested in lending to the majority of would-be buyers.

Data To Support My Southern California Real Estate Opinions:

While Southern California home sales increased month over month, fromgraph showing an increase in the number of absentee buyer activity in Southern California November to December, a large number of the buyers were real estate investors and 2nd home buyers.

An increase in sales from November to December is normal, and typically occurs each year. There are many factors that play a part in this ongoing trend, including tax benefits, which investors are always looking for.

The number of “absentee” or non-owner occupied purchases has increased consistently since the real estate crisis began in 2006. This is due, in large part, to foreign buyers that are making purchases for investment purposes or acquiring vacation homes in Southern California coastal communities.

 

pie chart showing the percentage of distressed sales and standard salesSouthern California distressed sales continue to dominate the charts, as 52.5% of all December sales were either short sales or foreclosures. In fact, approximately 1 out of every 3 home sales in Southern California were the result of a foreclosure last month, and 1 out of every 5 (20%) was a short sale.

It’s important, however, to put these numbers in perspective. While a great number of homeowners are struggling right now, we need to remember that these percentages are also a reflection of traditional seller’s sentiment; Most homeowners that do not need to sell right now, have decided to sit tight and wait out the down market. If more non-distressed homeowners decided to sell, I’m certain that we would see a shift in the percentages.

 

Types Of Loans Used To Purchase Southern California Homes In December 2011

The use of Adjustable Rate Mortgage loans (ARMs) is far below the previous 10 year average:

graph showing the amount of arm loans as compared to a 10 year average

 

Just as with ARMs, Jumbo loans are still infrequent, compared to to the pre-meltdown years:

graph showing the amount of jumbo loans as compared to the 10 year average

 

FHA loans continue to be a preferred method of financing for Southern California homes, with FHA loans accounting for nearly 1/3 of all real estate transactions in December, 2011. The primary reason is that these loans provide smaller down payment options and more lenient qualification guidelines:

pie chart showing the percentage of fha loans compared to other financing options

 

One shocking and exciting statistic is the number of Southern California home sales that did not require any financing. These “all cash” purchases are made up of a mix of real estate investorsvacation home buyers and traditional buyers. The numbers are staggering, as they are almost equal to the number of homes purchased with FHA financing:

graph showing the amount of cash home purchases compared to a 10 year average

What’s clear is that buyers are still bargain hunting, and there are still many Southern California homes to choose from in their preferred price range. Consider these Southern California home sales statistics:

  • Sales under $200,000 increased 5.9% from December 2010 to December 2011
  • Sales between $300,000-$800,000 decreased from December 2010 to December 2011
  • Sales of $800,000 and above decreased from December 2010 to December 2011

Below is a breakdown of Southern California real estate activity for December, 2011, as compared to December, 2010:

  • Ventura County’s Real Estate Sales Increased +1.30%
  • Ventura County’s Median Sales Price Decreased –8.50%
Dec 2010 # of Sales Dec 2011 # of Sales
761 771
 
Dec 2010 Median Sales Price Dec 2011 Median Sales Price
$355,000 $325,000
 
  • Los Angeles County’s Real Estate Sales Increased +.80%
  • Los Angeles County’s Median Sales Price Decreased –7.60%
 
Dec 2010 # of Sales Dec 2011 # of Sales
6,536 6,591
 
Dec 2010 Median Sales Price Dec 2011 Median Sales Price
$330,000 $305,000
 
  • Orange County’s Real Estate Sales Decreased –6.10%
  • Orange County’s Median Sales Price Decreased –2.40%
 
Dec 2010 # of Sales Dec 2011 # of Sales
2,739 2,572
 
Dec 2010 Median Sales Price Dec 2011 Median Sales Price
$410,000 $400,000
 
  • San Diego’s Real Estate Sales Increased +3.80%
  • San Diego’s Median Sales Price Decreased –5.40%
 
Dec 2010 # of Sales Dec 2011 # of Sales
3,191 3,311

 

Dec 2010 Median Sales Price Dec 2011 Median Sales Price
$333,000 $315,000
 
  • Riverside County’s Real Estate Sales Decreased –3.00%
  • Riverside County’s Median Sales Price Decreased –3.00%

 

Dec 2010 # of Sales Dec 2011 # of Sales
3,696 3,584
 
Dec 2010 Median Sales Price Dec 2011 Median Sales Price
$200,000 $194,000
 
  • San Bernardino County’s Real Estate Sales Decreased –7.20%
  • San Bernardino County’s Median Sales Price Decreased –1.30%

 

Dec 2010 # of Sales Dec 2011 # of Sales
2,605 2,418
 
Dec 2010 Median Sales Price Dec 2011 Median Sales Price
$152,000 $150,000
 

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Comments(7)

Team Honeycutt
Allen Tate - Concord, NC

Thanks for shsring your statistics. You did an especially good job with your facts and your graphs. It is always interesting to see what is happeing in other areas.

Bettr

Jan 18, 2012 06:36 AM
Kona Home Team (LUVA LLC) Lance Owens (RB-24133)
Kona Home Team (luva llc) - Kailua-Kona, HI
2024 Real Estate Expert - Hawaii Island

What a GREAT report Gina, lots of time and effort into it, what a good tool for your clients to have!  

Jan 18, 2012 06:38 AM
Momentum Realty
North Orange County CA Real Estate Specialists - Yorba Linda, CA
Orange County CA Real Estate Agent

Thanks Team Honeycutt! Appreciate the positive feedback!!

Hi Lance- Thank you! Yes, I believe that visuals help. At least, I know that they help me : ) Takes more time, but I believe that it's worth it.

Thanks to both of you for reading and commenting!

Gina Lemos

Jan 18, 2012 06:42 AM
Karen Hawkins, MBA - Langley & Surrey, BC
Royal Pro Real Estate Network - Langley, BC

Very well-presented market report, Gina - so comprehensive!

Jan 19, 2012 05:53 PM
Momentum Realty
North Orange County CA Real Estate Specialists - Yorba Linda, CA
Orange County CA Real Estate Agent

Thanks Karen- so glad you liked it!! Thanks for stopping by & taking the time to comment!

Gina Lemos

Jan 20, 2012 04:38 AM
Terri Camp Stevenson
DFW Texas Homes, LLC - Keller, TX
GRI, Realtor, DFW Homes Sales and Property Management

Wow! Awesome Market Report! This is one of the best I have seen. So well done. I may have to come back frequently to get ideas. What did you use to create your graphs? 

Ta-Dah!

Jan 20, 2012 02:11 PM
Momentum Realty
North Orange County CA Real Estate Specialists - Yorba Linda, CA
Orange County CA Real Estate Agent

Thanks Terri! What a nice compliment! I used http://www.onlinecharttool.com/. There are a few others out there, but this one give more options on colors & layout.

Have a fantastic weekend, and thanks for stopping by to check out my post & commenting!

Gina Lemos

Jan 20, 2012 05:46 PM