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CNN Money's Predictions - 8 of 10 Worst Housing Markets in California

By
Real Estate Agent with M Realty

This morning I came across an article on CNNMoney.com.  They predicted the top 10 worst housing market for 2009 across the country and California had the unfortunate distinction of having 8 out of 10 spots. 

Ranked as number 6 for the worst real estate markets in the country was the Santa Ana - Anaheim area.  The Median sales price for 2008 was stated at $532,140.  The prediction for '09 was a 23.7% decline.  The prediction for 2010 was a 3.5% decline.  If these predictions are accurate, that would leave us with the median sales price around $391,812 at the end of 2010.

Couple things to note from this report - it's important again to remember the definition of median sales price as I discussed in my previous post.  We still have a tremendous amount of distress inventory to consume and  much of it is in the under $750,000 price points.

These bank owned properties and short sales that will make up a tremendous amount of our 2009 activity will result in a lower median sales price.  I am not saying that prices won't decline, but again, it's important to look at the meaning of these numbers in the right context.

The other question that I find confusing is what is meant by Santa Ana - Anaheim area.  Did they look at the numbers from those two metro areas?  They don't appear to be referring to Orange County as a whole and Santa Ana has been in the top of the worst performing zip codes in the county so that I'm not sure we can say these are county wide predictions.  The news is not good nonetheless.

Other California cities that were facing some unpleasant predictions include Los Angeles (ranked as the worst real estate market in the country), Stockton, Riverside, Sacramento, Fresno, San Diego and Bakersfield.

The only two cities that were out of the Golden State were Miami - Miami Beach and Washington, D.C.

James Engel
Keller Williams Realty Beverly Hills - Beverly Hills, CA
KW Beverly Hills

Wow, that is horrible. I hope things dont turn out the way that they predicted. Thank you so much for sharing that with us! Have a great day and Happy Holidays!

Dec 22, 2008 08:21 AM
Norma Toering Broker for Palos Verdes and Beach Cities
Charlemagne International Properties - Rancho Palos Verdes, CA
Palos Verdes Luxury Homes in L.A.

Good information--not that I like it since I'm in the Los Angeles area....2009 will be another interesting year.

Dec 22, 2008 08:25 AM
Bruce Brockmeier
Internet Marketing Consultant to REALTORS® - Yorba Linda, CA
Coached By Crouch

Once again, CA leads the nation!  Unfortunately, this is one list we would rather not be part of.

Dec 22, 2008 08:28 AM
Esko Kiuru
Bethesda, MD

Linsey,

If the prediction holds true, California real estate is going to face a stiff challenge in 2009. I wonder where is Las Vegas? Our market isn't anything to write home about, either.

Dec 22, 2008 03:09 PM