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CNN Confirms The "Real" Unemployment Rate

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner

For the past couple of months I have been writing about the "real" unemployment rate, the U-6 rate, the rate that no major media outlet seems to know about or wants to write about.

This past month, the U-6 unemployment rate surged to 16.4%.  The rate includes:

1.)  Marginally attached workers - people that want a full time job, have looked for one in the past, but are no longer looking for work.

2.)  Discouraged workers - those that have given a job market reason for not looking for a job.

3.)  Persons employed part time for economic reasons - in other words, somebody that wants a full time job but has had to settle for part time work.

Well, finally, one major media source, CNN, has finally recognized the gravity of the data and elected to feature a blog/article about it. 

The reason this unemployment number has relevance for the housing market is because Washington's housing plan is contingent upon the ability of first time home buyers to drive a housing recovery.

The issue of course is that not only is the pool of first time home buyers not an infinite resource, but more Americans are also losing their homes as is evidence by the rising 12.07% delinquency rate.  There is going to be a continued supply and demand imbalance for housing so long as the rest of Americans, those that are able to invest in real estate, are left out of a housing stimulus plan. 

 

 

Comments(7)

TIM MONCRIEF
Tim Monciref - Austin, TX
Over 2,000 homes sold…..

Thanks for your continued updates.  As you track different unemployment figures it would be great to read what the increase or, God willing, decrease.  Cheers.

Jun 08, 2009 05:43 AM
Julie Cleland
Prudential California Realty - South San Francisco, CA

You raise a great point about how any given subject is covered by the national news.  To be truly informed, it's important to read multiple sources, all of which have their own angle.  In addition, read past the head line or first paragraph.

Jun 08, 2009 07:22 AM
Kathy Toth
Ann Arbor Market Center Keller Williams - Ann Arbor, MI
Ann Arbor Real Estate Experts - Kathy Toth Team

Thanks, Mark. Do you know if this data is available by State? or where we can get it?

Jun 08, 2009 12:17 PM
Mark MacKenzie
Phoenix, AZ

Kathy:  You can get all of the information from bls.gov.  They do have state by state unemployment but it only published the U-3 rate.

Jun 08, 2009 02:53 PM
Elizabeth Benefield
Montana Country Real Estate - Libby, MT

Mark it does seem like the unemployment rate is still on the rise. I hope it gets better soon.

Jun 08, 2009 04:49 PM
Home Loan Search.Online
Home Loan Search Online - Newnan, GA

I just read an article yesterday that talked about the "real" unemployment rate as well. They did not take into account the hundreds of thousands the government hired for census work that has since been completed.

Jun 09, 2009 02:04 AM
Debra Cernick
DeShazer Ryan Realty - Libby, MT

This is interesting-- the True rate-- it is all scary isn't it!

Jun 09, 2009 08:23 AM