A recent article in RisMedia by Kara McGuire reaches the conclusion that either a short sale or foreclosure will wreck your credit score. "Both short sales and foreclosures are considered negative by the score, because our data shows us it's very predictive of future credit risk," Tom Quinn, Minneapolis-based Fair Isaac Corp.'s vice president of FICO scores, said. "The claim that doing a short sale is not going to hurt your score is false. It's inaccurate."
McGuire stresses, "That's not to say that there aren't some instances where short sales are better. If a borrower is current at the point of a short sale, for instance, then the consumer's credit score won't sink as far as it would have if he hadn't made a mortgage payment for six months. Still, Fair Isaac says that the benefit from not having prior delinquencies on file pales when compared with the hit a score takes from a short sale."
Many sellers choosing between foreclosure and short sale have credit problems anyway. Dan Williams, program director for LSS Financial Counseling Service, says this widespread notion that short sales are better for credit is a big problem because it deters some people from going into foreclosure when that would be the best option for them.
Here's more good information from the McGuire article: "Both FICO and its credit scoring competitor VantageScore have released estimates for what happens to consumers' credit scores when they make mortgage missteps. In the VantageScore study, a homeowner with an otherwise clean record who then has a short sale sees their credit score drop between 120 and 130 points (on a scale of 501-990) compared with between 130 and 140 points if the same homeowner ends up in foreclosure.
"For a homeowner whose credit report is rife with late payments on everything from credit cards to car loans, a short sale would ding them between 15 to 25 points compared with 10 and 20 points for a foreclosure. Customers with rotten scores will see smaller point drops than someone whose score is good, because the score already has taken into account the lower-scoring customer's risky behavior and adjusted the score downward.
"FICO's example found short sales and foreclosures will set you back between 140 and 160 points if your credit score is a respectable 780 (on a scale of 300 to 850), or between 85 and 105 points if your credit is 680."
Ultimately you can't control how your housing payments are reported to the credit bureaus. For example, mortgage servicers may report your situation to the credit bureaus using different codes that could be interpreted more or less favorably by FICO.
McGuire concludes, "What if your circumstances change and you're able to save your home from a foreclosure? 'Once you've got a foreclosure starting to track on your credit file, you're taking a major hit,' even if you ultimately save your house, said Sarah Davies, a VantageScore senior vice president."
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