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"We can always reduce the price later" -- Price Reductions are NOT A GOOD MARKETING PLAN for Northern Virginia Homes

By
Real Estate Agent with RE/MAX Allegiance, Managing Broker/Branch Vice President

The number one secret for selling homes in Northern Virginia quickly and at the highest possible price is to price the property properly when it first goes on the market for sale.  It's long been known that the longer a home lingers on the market, the lower price it is likely to command.  

WHY?

If you can remember when you first bought your home, one of the first questions you probably asked about each home you previewed was "How long has it been on the market?" We tend to assume that if it has been on the market for quite some time there is either: A) something wrong with the home; or B) more negotiating room because the seller is getting anxious for a sale.

As a seller, you certainly don't want potential buyers for your home thinking along those lines.  In order to sell quickly and for the most the market will bear, it is imperative to price the property right at the onset.

 When selecting a Virginia Realtor, do not automatically select the one who tells you that he or she can "get you $645,000 for your house" when the reality is that the home is only worth $595,000.  In the industry, we call this an agent "buying the listing"  It is more important, in fact crucial, to select a Virginia Realtor who will be truthful about the pricing of your home and present you with hard facts of the comparable home sales and current market activity.

You might think to yourself "Oh well, we can always reduce the price in 30 days if it doesn't sell."  As explained in the analysis below, this is NOT A GOOD MARKETING PLAN in Northern Virginia.  And think about, your home will not look so attractive with a "Price Reduced" sign in the yard.

 

Price Reduction Analysis 

Part I:  Number of price reductions versus period of time on market 

I analyzed all the sales in Alexandria, Virginia for the month of July 2007 throughout all price ranges.  I divided up the sales by the number of days the home was on the market: 1) 0-30 days; 2) 31-60 days; 3) 61-90 days; 4) 91-120 days; and 5) 121 days or more.

Overall, 39% of Alexandria sales in July involved a price reduction from the original listing price.  Here's a chart showing the percentage of sales with seller price reductions categorized by number of days on the market:


If the house is priced properly to sell within the first 30 days, it is unlikely that a price reduction will be necessary.  Only 5 sales out of a total of 94 in Alexandria that sold in 30 days or less involved a price reduction.  After a month, 44% of sales involved a price reduction.  This number jumps to 74% after 2 months and at 4 months plus, 95% of Alexandria sellers had to reduce their price in order to get their home sold!  Not great odds!

Part II:  Final Sales Price as percentage of original asking price 

The second part of my analysis of Alexandria price reductions looks at the size of the price reduction and the final sales price as a percentage of the original asking price.  The following chart shows the reduced price as a percentage of the original listing price and the final sales price as a percentage of the original listing price.

Homes that sold in 30 days or less sold at 98.03% of the original asking price.  Home on the market 31-60 days in Alexandria sold for 95.19% of the original asking price.  Homes on the market for 61-120 days sold for around 91% of the original asking price.  And when a home was on the market over 120 days, it only garnered 87.01% of the original asking price in the final sale -- representing over $80,000 less than the seller's original price.  

This last result can easily be avoided by pricing a home right when first putting it up for sale. 

To find out how much your Northern Virginia home is worth, please give me a call at 703-626-0715 or contact me via e-mail to discuss your situation.

Adam Waldman
Westcott Group Real Estate Company - Hauppauge, NY
Realtor - Long Island
Brian - I can't believe that so many people saw this and have yet to comment.  I talked about this very subject in my blog Price It Right - The First 30 Days Are The Most Important For A Listing.  Of course, I didn't have all of the graphs and statistical information, but I would like to learn how to do some of those things.  I'll contact you offline to discuss them.  Anyway, this is a great piece that clearly explains why homeowners are doing themselves a disservice by pricing too high.  Unfortunately, you can give these charts to many sellers and they'll think that somehow they'll do better because their house is nicer.  Great post!
Aug 13, 2007 06:48 PM
Donna Yates
BHGRE - Metro Brokers - Blue Ridge, GA
Blue Ridge Mountains
Brian - You are absolutely, 100% correct in my opinion and in my experience.  I've been advised to just get the listing, doesn't matter about the price but I found out very quickly, it darn well does matter about the price.  Not only in terms of making a sale for the client at the best price possible in the shortest amount of time possible but in terms of my reputation too.  Referrals are very important to me and if I "buy listings", that is not helping my image and that means as much to me as selling a house for someone.  You get a 5from me on this one.  Thankyou.
Aug 13, 2007 07:59 PM
Jaynee Acevedo
Capital Style Home Staging - Kensington, MD
Capital Style Home Staging

Excellent post!  You provide numbers, and (for us visual home stager types) the graphics to really tell the story to the eyes.  So many other markets having properties moving at a great rate.  Something tells me the DC folk are still convinced that 4 year old prices apply, which is keeping closings low 'round these parts.

Cheers, from DC

   Jaynee

Aug 21, 2007 06:25 AM
Home Staging
Reston, VA

Great post Brian. I think many folks in VA are stuck in a situation where they purchased too high so they have to price high to get out of a bad situation.  Nonetheless, it still seems to hold true that when priced right and in good condition, the home will sell quicker.

Thanks for the great charts and stats 

Aug 28, 2007 05:26 AM
Katerina Gasset
The Gasset Group & Get It Done For Me Virtual Services - Provo, UT
Amplify Your Real Estate & Life Dreams!
Brian- This post can apply in many markets. I am surprised that you did not more comments. This is great information and your charts look good and contain correct information. In our market, you can start at the lowest last sold and your house will still stay on the market! It is brutal right now, but this too shall pass. I showed 9 homes today, all short sales with prices cut in half and still are on the market! It is a great time to buy! Katerina
Oct 23, 2007 05:31 PM
Anonymous
xarien

Brian, as a home buyer who is quite used to data analysis, I must say that the graph you present is quite misleading.  Let's take your punchline of "representing over $80,000 less than the seller's original price."  for instance.  On one hand you elude to the fact that some listings are not priced correctly which is the cause for the long stagnation period between listing and selling, but on the other hand you take that same price descrepancy and use it to pad your $80,000 figure. 

To truly analyze the data, you need to remove the price descrepancy as it is a constant on both sides of the equation; one simply removes that constant earlier than the other.  If two similar homes are listed as $550,000 and $500,000 respectively, and is sold for $480,000 and $490,000, the data you would have presented would show that's the first house sold at 87% of the original listing price while the second one sold for 98% of the orginal listing price.  However, if we had removed that $50,000 price misrepresentation constant from the equation, the numbers are much more different in that you'd have a comparison between 96% and 98%.

Now, don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to argue about pricing homes high, but rather point out the flaw in the data analysis.

Sep 19, 2008 06:34 AM
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