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Timing the real estate market is like timing a Roulette table...

By
Real Estate Agent with Benchmark Realty

You're in Vegas standing at a Roulette table and you see that the last 6 turns have landed on red. You throw $100 down on black. You cross your fingers and BOOM... It hits red again! "WHYYYYY???" "How could this happen to me??" "The odds were in my favor!!!". 

Sure they were in your favor but it just didn't happen. If you really break down real estate, what is it really? Real Estate in it's purist form is a dwelling, a place to rest, a shelter. With that being said, the best way to look at vegas
 purchasing a new home is figuring out where you want to live and make an offer. Real Estate is more than likely a long term stock rather than "$100 on black". If you love the area and love the house then buy and stay put. The housing market will turn around. The values will go up and YOU will be happy. 

I know I know.... "The guys on tv buy the right house, paint it, and make a killing". Look, it IS possible that the roulette table will land on black but you just never know. On top of that, these guys are pros. They know their stuff. If it were truly that easy don't you think that more people would be doing it? I personally sell homes for investors who have been doing this for years. I have three houses on the market from one investor and this guy has been doing this for years. Sometimes he has landed on black and hit the big jack pots. Sometimes though he has to wait it out.  

Real Estate is an investment but it is also the place where you live. Do your research. Look into schools, churches, neighborhoods, commute time, future city plans, everything. Find what best fits your needs within your budget. STAY THERE! 

You never know. You may hit the jackpot on a house within the next 12 months but if your intention is to stay and live then you can almost never go wrong. 

 

Stephen Strickhausen
KELLER WILLIAMS REALTY
9175 CAROTHERS PKY SUITE 110

615-778-1818

615-480-5770
Sstrickhausen@gmail.com
http://www.Sstrickhausen.com

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Ron and Alexandra Seigel
Napa Consultants - Carpinteria, CA
Luxury Real Estate Branding, Marketing & Strategy

Stephen,

Sound advice, love your analogy of the roulette table.  Actually, my father was very lucky at the roulette table,  Wishing you continued success, and a great week ahead.

Aug 02, 2010 06:07 AM
The 1410 Group of Benchmark Realty, LLC
Benchmark Realty - Franklin, TN

Thanks for the comment. I too have been lucky at the Roulette table:) There is a system... it's not full proof but it is a system. Short sales here in Nashville seem to be somewhat of a "roulette" table. There are some great deals to be had while others have been just a pain and hardly worth the time. 

THANKS AGAIN

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Aug 02, 2010 06:17 AM
Damon Gettier
Damon Gettier & Associates, REALTORS- Roanoke Va Short Sale Expert - Roanoke, VA
Broker/Owner ABRM, GRI, CDPE

It seems that everyone thinks they are smarter than we are at our own business....it can be frustrating.

Aug 02, 2010 12:54 PM
The 1410 Group of Benchmark Realty, LLC
Benchmark Realty - Franklin, TN

I guess the A&E network would make a great agent;)

Aug 02, 2010 02:41 PM
Jane Peters
Home Jane Realty - Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles real estate concierge services

Well, don't ask me to buy a home for investment purposes.  I and some friends of mine lost our shirts (not in Vegas) betting on one color when the other once came up over 12 times.  Go figure.  You are right, unless you are a gambler, buy a home for the long term.

Aug 02, 2010 04:50 PM
The 1410 Group of Benchmark Realty, LLC
Benchmark Realty - Franklin, TN

Jane,

I think that half of the Real Estate crash is because people thought they would get a huge return in a short period. The interest only will never go up because the price will sky rocket:) We live and we learn. Thanks for the comment

Aug 02, 2010 05:03 PM
Robert Dirienzo
HABITEC Home and Building Inspections, LLC - Franklin, TN
Home Inspections - Nashville TN

Stephen,

Great advise.  And I think now is a great time to buy a house.  Most people usually stay in a house for 7 years, on average.  Even if the market value of a house drops another 10% in the next year, in 7 years it will probably be up much more than that.  Trying to hit the bottom of the housing market is like trying to hit the bottom of the stock market.  Go for the middle 60% in any investment and you will do just fine.

Thank you,

Richard Acree

HABITEC Home and Building Inspections, LLC

http://habitecinspections.com

Aug 05, 2010 03:42 PM