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Is It Nuts to Get a 15-Year Mortgage Loan? I Contend It May Be!

By
Real Estate Agent with Bill Cherry, Realtor 0124242

 

It interests me how many Realtors are suggesting new home buyers pick slightly lower interest rate home loans that those of more than 15 years.

The rational is that the interest rate for 15 year loans is slightly less than that for those of longer periods.

And that the buyer will pay off his home up to twice as fast.

The same is true for refinancing existing loans.  Not only will the rate for the new loan be substantially lower than the old one, but it also gives the homeowners the opportunity to pick a loan that amortizes faster.

From a strictly financial sense, the logic is lousy.  When mortgage interest rates are very cheap, as they are today, and the value of homes is seriously diminished and with no recovery of sizable consequence, there is a much better avenue.

Go with the 30-year loan and invest the difference in the payments each month into an appreciating asset, like a mutual fund.

Here’s an example:

          $200,000 @ 4% for 30 years = $   955 per month
          $200,000 @ 4% for 15 years = $1,479 per month

The average home buyer stays in his home for 7-years before he sells and relocates.  Assuming that’s true, at the end of 7-years, he would have invested $44,016 in his mutual fund account.  If his mutual fund’s share value only doubled in 7-years, he would have $88,000.

In 2019 the loan balance based on the 30-year loan would be $171,350.  So you would have accumulated $28,650 in equity plus $88,000 in mutual fund value, for a total of $116,650.

Had you done the straight 30-year loan for 30 years, at the end of the 7th year you would owe $120,292.  Your equity would be $79,780. 

That’s a difference of  $36,870 that, in this example, it cost you to do a 15 year loan rather than a 30-year loan, investing the difference.

BILL CHERRY, REAL ESTATE BROKER

Dallas-Park Cities
Since 1964

214 503-8563

Comments(4)

Richard Weisser
Richard Weisser Realty - Newnan, GA
Richard Weisser Retired Real Estate Professional

Bill...

There is a lot of difference in the payments with interest this low, so it might make good sense for some to reduce their monthly obligation.

Aug 07, 2012 11:40 AM
Wayne Johnson
Coldwell Banker D'Ann Harper REALTORS® - San Antonio, TX
San Antonio REALTOR, San Antonio Homes For Sale

Bill- I agree that your option is one that should be considered. But each Buyer has to consider what works best for them. Consider several alternatives and select the one that works best for the Buyer situation.

Aug 22, 2012 05:07 AM
Bill Roberts
Brooks and Dunphy Real Estate - Oceanside, CA
"Baby Boomer" Retirement Planner

Hi Bill, How are you? I got worried when you disappeared from LinkedIn. Que pasa?

When the rate is this low and inflation is DEFINITELY on the horizon, it only makes sense to stretch it out as long as possible. In addition to your increased net worth by investing the difference in the payment, there is the consideration that in less than 10 years you will be paying the loan back with dollars which are worth 50% less. And by the 15th year, when you would have paid off the loan, you would have more money in your side investment account than you still owe on the mortgage.

Bill Roberts

Sep 24, 2012 05:58 AM