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"Real estate is local" Gary Shilling Knows Nothing

Reblogger Courtney Cooper
Real Estate Agent with Cooper Jacobs

Sorry, but I like this - being that I have been in multiple offers several times in the last two weeks with cash high net worth buyers, I have to say that the bottom came and went in many areas of Seattle and Seattle suburbs. 

Original content by Mitchell J Hall

A broken clock gets the time right twice a day...

Gary Shilling, a broken record has never been right.

This week the media had numerous articles about the "so-called" famous economist Gary Shilling not ready to call the national housing market a bottom yet. In fact, he expects prices to drop another 20 percent from here and doesn't think we will see a bottom in the market for another several years.

Is Gary a day late and a dollar short?  HA

Doeas anyone care what he thinks? Is there really a national housing market?

I can't speak for other markets but here in Manhattan we're on fire. Bidding wars, all cash buyers, foreign buyers, investor buyers, first time buyers everyone is out buying.

He's talking about a bottom? Don't bottoms come during buyer's markets? Did he miss the memo? I think we bottomed here in 2009. I can tell Gary we are in a a strong seller's, owner's landlord's market. Rents are at all time highs and vacancy rates are at all time lows. We are seeing bidding wars on rentals at the same time many renters have discovered it's cheaper to own then to rent so renters are out buying at 3% mortgage interest rates competing with all cash investors and pied-a-terre buyers.

Does any one really want to hear predictions from the boy who cried wolf?

Hey I have charts too Gary!

Manhattan market August 2012

Manhattan market August 2012

And My charts are better than yours...

because I'm a real estate broker, I'm out selling real estate everyday and my charts come from actual closed sales data and contractas from my local brokerage not from some one in an ivory tower named Gary Shilling.

©Mitchell Hall 2006-2012

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Blogging about Manhattan Real Estate since 2006.

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Courtney Cooper

Luxury Realtor | With Offices in Downtown, North Seattle, & Kirkland

Cooper Jacobs Luxury Real Estate

courtney@cooperjacobs.com 206-850-8841 

More About Me: 

Over two decades of real estate experience guarantees that you are in the best of hands, and I promise to always put your interests FIRST. I specialize in Seattle &  Eastside neighborhoods.  I am a natural waterbaby and love waterfront homes and Seattle houseboats and you can find me down on the docks of Lake Union and Portage Bay several times a week.   Other aspects of Seattle real estate that I adore include Queen Anne Real Estate,Wallingford Real EstateBallard Real EstateGreen Lake Real EstateLaurelhurst Real EstateMagnolia Real Estate, Medina Real Estate, and Seattle Waterfront Real Estate

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Comments(2)

Debbie Reynolds, C21 Platinum Properties
Platinum Properties- (931)771-9070 - Clarksville, TN
The Dedicated Clarksville TN Realtor-(931)320-6730

Courtney, I am glad your market is bouncing back. Ours is slow to recover but we really never took the hard hit other areas did.

Sep 21, 2012 04:14 AM
Courtney Cooper
Cooper Jacobs - Seattle, WA
206-850-8841

Hi Debbie - I have been pretty amazed at how many of the buyers that have come crawling out fiercly lately :)  Good luck in yours!  Hope it gets better soon!

Sep 21, 2012 04:17 AM