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Are Happy Days Here Again? Time Will Tell

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Austin Texas Homes, LLC 453249

This is purely anecdotal evidence with regard to any big turnaround locally, but I have been happy and a little surprised at how much luxury home buying and selling activity we have seen at our company in the last quarter of 2009.  Over the past week or so, agents at our company have been working on the following:

  • Buyers looking at homes up to $3 million
  • Buyers up to $2 million
  • New listing for $800,000

Needless to say, this would make for a phenomenal final quarter for us. 

As always, I get the same question many times each day, "So, how is the market doing these days?"  I'm never one to pull punches, so if things are rough, I say so.  These days, whenever I say that we've been really busy in the second half of the year, most people assume it's because of the much-talked-about tax credit for first-time buyers.  In our case, nothing could be further from the truth.  I have exactly ONE buyer that will benefit from the tax credit (the current one, not the proposed one).

With that in mind, it makes me hopeful for 2010 and beyond, as the economic indicators seem to be improving at last and the general vibe is a positive one.  As I've written before, perception becomes reality, so when people think the economy is getting better, they spend money and it happens.  The converse is also true.  When people are told that times are bad, they stay home and stop spending money.

As a quick example, I still remember the reaction of our clients after 9/11 happened.  They froze.  Our team closed one deal in the entire last quarter of 2001.  Was there less money at that point?  Nope.  Had any of our buyers who cancelled lost their jobs?  Again, no.  They were worried about the financial future of our country, so they stopped buying, at least for awhile.  Unfortunately, THAT is what made things truly bad, not the original source of the fear.

I never advocate lying when friends or clients inquire about the state of the market, but I do advise sharing success stories if you have them.  As economic news (hopefully) continues to improve overall, this could lead to increased consumer spending on many fronts, and we may just see a real recovery. 

Quick disclaimer: Although I minored in Economics in college, the stuff above is just my own opinion.

Thanks for reading!

Posted by

 

If you're looking for a home in the Austin area, you can also visit my primary website at www.austintexashomes.com.  Thanks!

Donna Harris
Donna Homes, powered by JPAR - TexasRealEstateMediationServices.com - Austin, TX
Realtor,Mediator,Ombudsman,Property Tax Arbitrator

My latest buyers have all been in the upper range as well.  $650k, $700k, and $1.8M... why the last guy stopped at the .8 and not rounding to $2M, I'm not sure, but it's psychological in today's market.

Oct 30, 2009 08:12 AM
Sara Woolford & Steve Golson, ALHS
iTexas Realty Co. - San Antonio, TX

Hi Jason- I'm happy that you are reporting things looking up.  That's good news.  We have also seen a great year.  Can we get some more of these stories?  --Sara

Oct 30, 2009 08:14 AM
Susan Mangigian
RE/MAX Preferred - West Chester, PA
Chester & Delaware County Homes, Delaware and Ches

Hi Jason,  I am like you, I've only had one of my first time buyers who actually pulled the trigger and will take advantage of the tax credit.  But I have been busy and the two settlements I have lined up for December are $490,000 and $610,000.  I am not drowning in settlements but I am holding my own and have enough, which is my goal in life.  To have just enough with some left over to invest in the kid's college and our retirement.  I have picked up enormously during the second half of the year but having anything was an enormous improvement for me because last fall and this early year were abysmal.  I don't believe in spouting doom and gloom or pretending all is well when it's not but we do need to paint as positive a picture and the truth will allow.

Oct 30, 2009 08:28 AM
Bruce Brockmeier
Internet Marketing Consultant to REALTORS® - Yorba Linda, CA
Coached By Crouch

I do advise sharing success stories if you have them. 

Hi Jason,

Last night I was watching an international business show out of the UK.  I think you will be interested to learn that even people in the UK have heard about Texas as a good real estate market!

Oct 30, 2009 08:32 AM
Jason Crouch
Austin Texas Homes, LLC - Austin, TX
Broker - Austin Texas Real Estate (512-796-7653)

Donna - I have a handful in the upper range as well, but I was especially happy to see some of my agents getting multimillion dollar buyers.  The $1.8 million buyer does sound like he might have a psychological barrier.  We once had a buyer who said they would consider up to $2.8 million, then they bought a property for just over $4 million from us!

Sara - The first half of the year felt less exciting to me, but the last few months have been awesome.  I hope to have more to share!

Susan - That's great!  I know that you have a similar outlook with regard to how you handle your business.  It's known as "integrity".  :)

Bruce - I'm certainly glad to hear that!

 

Oct 30, 2009 08:40 AM
Liz Loadholt
Liz Loadholt- AgentOwned Realty- Covering SC - Mount Pleasant, SC
Realtor--Broker-in-charge - Trainer--Relocation Director Covering SC

Jason --- this is great news --- we have had clients recently in the higher price range, also.

  
             Mama Liz

Oct 30, 2009 09:17 AM
Julia Odom
Select Realty Professionals - Chattanooga, TN
Chattanooga Homes for Sale

From your lips to God's ears.

Oct 30, 2009 09:46 AM
Richard Weisser
Richard Weisser Realty - Newnan, GA
Richard Weisser Retired Real Estate Professional

Jason...

We closed about 40 sides at our store this month, about 80% seeking the tax credit. Real estate really is local!

Oct 30, 2009 10:28 AM
Trey Thurmond
BCR Realtors - College Station, TX
College Station , Texas Homes

Jason

That is great! I have seen an upsurge  in investors seeking properties in our area which I feel is a sign of confidence also.

Oct 30, 2009 02:22 PM
Larry Story ALC
Total Care Realty - Greensboro, NC
Beneath it all is the Land, Covering all of NC

Jason so true the whole market is starting to show signs of movement.  I like to call it the "Trickle up affect".

Oct 31, 2009 04:46 AM
Sabrina Kelley
ERA Herman Group Real Estate - Woodland Park, CO
Woodland Park Colorado Mountain Homes and Land

I keep seeing and saying the same thing. I think many agents are burrowing down thinking that the times are still not turning. These are the agents who are going to miss the early surge. Thanks for confirming the current market trends.

 

Nov 01, 2009 10:41 AM
Aaron Vaughn 830-358-0455
Conifer Builders LLC - Canyon Lake, TX

Wow. Sounds good. Been busiest in the under-$200K range myself.

Nov 02, 2009 08:23 AM
William James Walton Sr.
WEICHERT, REALTORS® - Briotti Group - Waterbury, CT
Greater Waterbury Real Estate

But your point, Jason, was not so much about being self-congratulatory...but rather, about a maxim that is as old as time itself: belief precedes behavior, or as James so eloquently put it, "faith without works is dead"...if we believe that something is going to happen, then we take active steps to ensure that it does. We really work towards things if we believe that it is going to be so. And for all of our sakes, I hope that we are really reading the signs right...

Nov 02, 2009 03:44 PM
Bill Gassett
RE/MAX Executive Realty - Hopkinton, MA
Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate

Good to hear the market is looking up. I hope the trend continues!

Nov 03, 2009 12:19 AM
1~Judi Barrett
Integrity Real Estate Services 116 SE AVE N, Idabel, OK 74745 - Idabel, OK
BS Ed, Integrity Real Estate Services -IDABEL OK

"Quick disclaimer: Although I minored in Economics in college, the stuff above is just my own opinion."

Opinions should always be based on facts, as yours obviously are.  Hope everything keeps going well.

Nov 03, 2009 12:46 PM