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San Diego Real Estate - Mortgage Delinquency Rate Stabilizing

By
Industry Observer with Retired

San Diego Real Estate - Mortgage  Delinquency Rate Stabilizing

There was a recent drop in the reported number of delinquent loans in San Diego county. It is the first decline since the rate of delinquent mortgages started to rise in in 2006. Following this statistic, economists use this data to determine how many and where households are running into financial trouble.

I remember the headlines back in 2006 as the delinquency rates were rising and I don't think anyone could have anticipated what would follow for the last few years. They said it was was going to be extensive but little they realize then just how many homeowners would actually affected. When the market values that had been practically zooming out of the stratosphere, many feared that the home prices were going up way too fast and they most likely could not be sustained. You Think?

It seemed at the time that someone had pulled a switch and the market began tumbling and many with little or no equity were caught in the teeth of the monster devouring the market values of homes. The cycle continued for quite some time and the values in so many areas plummeted. That is all history now.

These new numbers seem to suggest that the bottom of the market has been realized and that San Diego County and several other parts of California may be leading the nation out of its housing nightmare. Wishful Thinking?

 

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Comments(6)

Jeff Dowler, CRS
eXp Realty of California, Inc. - Carlsbad, CA
The Southern California Relocation Dude

William - well that is good news. 

I guess I want to see a number of months of this before I start jumping up and down. But we cdertainly are seeing some positive trends in some areas. And with rates being what they are right now...

Jeff

May 22, 2010 07:25 AM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired

Hi Jeff, The thing that saves us is the rates are staying low. I have heard recently that the Fed will keep rates down all through the rest of the year and through Spring of next year. That can only help. I saw in the newspaper this morning that over the next 4 years we will see a 15% increase in property values. While that is not fabulous, it certainly is encouraging. If we could just get to a consistent 5% a year, life would great for real estate. The main issue is that it is not consistent though our markets. But things are really looking up. If the election this fall goes as I expect, I think the recovery will  be so much more possible than if it doesn't go as I think it might.

May 22, 2010 07:37 AM
Lynda Eisenmann
Preferred Home Brokers - Brea, CA
Broker Associate ,CRS,GRI,SRES, Brea,CA, Orange Co

Hi William,

Interesting numbers, the lowest deliquency rate since 2006? Glad to hear that, I'll need to check to see if I can find it in my area of the OC.

May 22, 2010 10:29 AM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired

Hi Lynda, Since this gauge seems to be important to each localized economic area, check with your newspaper. I am nor sure who runs this or what agency would have access to the late pays on mortgages. The banks must report it somewhere?

May 22, 2010 11:18 AM
Kay Van Kampen
RE/MAX Broker, RE/MAX - Springfield, MO
Realtor®, Springfield Mo Real Estate

William, past history shows when the coastal states start rebounding, eventually it show up in the central states.  Hope these figures are right.

May 22, 2010 02:00 PM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired

Hi Kay, Me Too! We can be hopeful and just be there.

May 22, 2010 02:10 PM