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Timing the market is everything (sometimes, sort of, but maybe not really)

Reblogger Gabe Sanders
Real Estate Agent with Real Estate of Florida specializing in Martin County Residential Homes, Condos and Land Sales 3090099

Alex Morris wrote this really topical and important post about those that are trying to time the market for the best possible deal.  More often than not, this scenario is doomed to fail and Alex points out why:

I hear a lot of people voicing concerns over the timing of their purchase. 

"I just don't know if it's the right time to buy." 

Fair enough

But here's the problem folks:  You never know when the bottom hits until it's on the way back up.  Furthermore, if you buy a property you like at a discount, based on the nature of the market, then price/location trumps timing.  Furthermore, I will throw the "rate argument" (the fact that they are at/near historical lows) at you as well.  So now we have
  • price
  • location
  • rate
all working in favor, and working against you:
  • timing (possibly)
So when it's all said and done, the only time you know you timed the market right is...well...tomorrow.  Crystal balls and hindsight are great for quips to make yourself (or others) feel better.  But in my opinion, if you find a deal that is economical, that already is priced at a discount, below current sold comps, then in truth you have a "buffer zone" to allow for the market to dip a little bit more.  And if you are going to be in there for 3+ years, you probably will incur a dip here and there, but like with stocks, you won't lose money until you sell it.
 
Reference the chart below so I can better explain my theory:

JPEG IMAGE
 
Let's call it a tasty side to go along with your Christmas ham, also known as "food for thought".  This is not a guarantee, but a commentary on the "anticipated buyer's remorse" I encounter all too often in the crazy world of real estate.

Realtor, GRI

Blackburn Properties

Austin, TX

(512) 917-0834   AlexMorrisRealtor@gmail.com

"Waving People Home Since 2005"

Gabe Sanders
Real Estate of Florida specializing in Martin County Residential Homes, Condos and Land Sales - Stuart, FL
Stuart Florida Real Estate

Thank you for stopping by and taking the time to read my re-blog.

Jul 12, 2015 05:56 AM
Gabe Sanders
Real Estate of Florida specializing in Martin County Residential Homes, Condos and Land Sales - Stuart, FL
Stuart Florida Real Estate

So many people are wishing they had bought two years ago, but they thought the market was going lower.

Jan 31, 2016 02:58 AM