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The Less You Know,The More You Think You Know

By
Real Estate Agent with Stewart Estates

 

It has been scientifically proven that the less you know, the more you think you know.

This is known as the Dunning-Kruger effect. The basic idea behind it has been a well-established rule for centuries. Charles Darwin, for instance, has stated "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge". It has been empirically proven in 1999, by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in their report "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments".

This was proven through a study in which participants take tests of their logical reasoning skills, grammatical skills, and humor, and then estimate their own abilities in those subjects. Those participants who scored in the bottom quartile grossly overestimated their own abilities. Those in the12th percentile had estimated themselves to be in the 62nd percentile.

Overall, Dunning and Kruger found that incompetent people overestimate their own skill level, fail to recognize the skill of other people and fail to recognize their own inadequacy. Also, as they receive training to improve their skills, incompetent people tend become more aware of their own inabilities.

Read more about the Dunning-Kruger effect in Wikipedia. For a similar, less scientific theory, check out the "Peter Principle".



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Gary Frimann, CRS, GRI, SRES
Eagle Ridge Realty / Signature Homes & Estates - Gilroy, CA
REALTOR and Broker

Great, Great post!!!  I had an inkling that this theory was out there, and had given it quite a bit of thought, and I will research it further.  Thanks for this fountain of information.

Nov 28, 2012 10:09 AM
Jeffrey Jones
AZ Home Seekers - San Tan Valley, AZ
AZ Home Seekers, azhomeseekers.com

great post Jason,

so the less you know, the more confident you are, because you don't know any better.

but knowledge is power, so the more you know, your confident in what you know, but realize you dont know everything

Nov 28, 2012 10:11 AM
Andrea Swiedler
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices New England Properties - New Milford, CT
Realtor, Southern Litchfield County CT

Wow, now I am worried. I don't think I can ever feel confident again about my abilities to do anything! But this does explain a whole lot for me.....

Nov 28, 2012 10:22 AM
Mel Ahrens, MBA, Kelly Right Real Estate
Kelly Right Real Estate - Hood River, OR
Customized Choices for your Real Estate Needs

So, so true. If these studies leave any doubt as to the theory, just ask any teenager how smart he is! I know some who think they know everything and adults are so deluded!

Gretchen

Nov 28, 2012 10:22 AM