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Mortgage Rate Update 6-13-13: Trends Projections & Today's Best Rates

By
Mortgage and Lending with CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

Retail sales and jobless claims came in stronger than expected, but with little reaction from Wall Street. A large decline in Japan's stock market has provided a small improvement to Mortgage Backed Securities as a result (after a down day yesterday).

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back nearly 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  To make things easier, I have also posted a quick report on How To Read The Charts Below.

Also, make sure to learn THE TOP 10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES (to help understand the relationship between rates & fees/credits) along with THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES (to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns). Remember, we all make better decisions in life when we have the actual facts to analyze!

Jason E. Gordon - Mortgage Rate Update - www.jasongordon.net

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Thursday 6-13-2013 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Wednesday with a WORSENING to pricing.  Wednesday's WORSENING netted a change of 22 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

Mortgage Rate Update - www.JasonGordon.info 

The following chart shows the activity thus far for today:

Today's Best Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

 Today's Best Mortgage Rates - Jason E Gordon - www.JasonGordon.info

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

 Today's Best Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trenerry)

 

FNMA 30-Year:
2.5 Coupon: Open 95.5469 Change 0.0781
3.0 Coupon: Open 99.7919 Change 0.0469
3.5 Coupon: Open 102.8594 Change 0.0156
 
Treasuries:
5 Year: Open 99.3828 Change 0.0625 Yield 1.1280
10 Year: Open 95.9063 Change 0.1563 Yield 2.2100
30 Year: Open 91.0469 Change 0.3750 Yield 3.3500
 
Key Economic Data
EUR/USD: Open 1.3294 Change -0.0043
GBP/USD: Open 1.5655 Change -0.0022
USD/JPY: Open 94.640 Change -1.360
Oil: Open 95.68
 
Key Economic Data:
Import prices for May: Actual -0.6%, Last -0.5%.
Export prices for May: Actual -0.5%, Last -0.7%.
Unemployment
Initial jobless claims: Actual 334k, Consensus 345k, Last 346k.
Jobless claims 4-week avg: Actual345.25k, Last 352.50k.
Continued jobless claims: Actual 2.973m, Consensus 2.975m, Last 2.952m.
Retail sales for May
Index: Actual 0.6%, Consensus 0.4%, Last 0.1%.
Ex-autos: Actual 0.3%, Consensus 0.3%, Last -0.1%.
Ex gas/autos: Actual 0.3%, Last 0.2%.
7:00: Business inventories for Apr: Consensus 0.3%, Last 0.0%.
 
Advice:
With unemployment coming in close to expectation, and a small improvement in Retail sales. I would expect the market to trade in a close range today.
My position on MBS stays Short.
(3.00cpn July @ 99*9/32)

Market Commentary (Dan Rawitch)

 

 
Most of the news this morning is positive for the economy and that could pressure bonds as the trading day proceeds. We also have a reverse head and shoulders pattern that will most likely magnify the markets next move. We need to get above and stay above yesterdays closing price or we may see a significant sell off. I'd be very careful here and watch closely for this afternoons 30 year bond auction results. Yestersday 10 year results Robs us of our rally

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity. All Market Commentary is provided via The Mortgage Coach and/or their RateWatch technology software.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasongordon.net or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's best mortgage rates

Bob Miller
Keller Williams Cornerstone Realty - Ocala, FL
The Ocala Dream Team

Hi Jason, we are watching the rates and expect them to break 4% any day now.

Jun 13, 2013 04:05 AM