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REALITY CHECK. DON'T BELIEVE FOR ONE MINUTE THAT LOWER INTEREST RATES WILL HELP THAT MUCH.

By
Real Estate Agent with Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate 303829;0225082372

AN ARTICLE IN INMAN today describes why lower interest rates won't solve the housing industry mess. 

"But tightened underwriting standards will disqualify many with less-than-stellar credit scores, and an estimated 12 million homeowners who owe more than their homes are worth may also find it difficult to purchase or refinance a home."  Emphasis added.  More. . . . . .

Yes.  I've been harping about that for months.  When I hear someone talking about "lower interest rates. . . .  4.5% mortgage rates. . .  blah, blah, blah", all I can say is, "So what?

WHAT GOOD ARE LOWER INTEREST RATES IF THE HOUSE WON'T APPRAISE?

Perhaps folks are beginning to listen. 

Can you imagine the real positive jolt to the American economy if those 12,000,000 home owners with negative equity were able to sell and move up?  Move up buyers were a huge percentage of the real estate industry economy for generations.  Folks now trapped in condos and town homes with negative equity would be able to move up to their dream home, a house with a yard with room for the children and pets. 

Can you imagine the real positive jolt to the American family if employees were again free to "take that great job offered" if they could sell their home and make financial decisions without having to consider short sale or foreclosure for their existing property? 

Can you imagine the real positive jolt to the American real estate agents and brokers if there were an additional 12,000,000 home owners who were free to list and sell their home without losing to short sale or foreclosure sellers that are not captive of their negative equity. 

Now what?? 

Stay tuned.  Sooner or later, there's going to have to be some relief for the American home owner. 

Or, sooner or later, the American family is going to vote the fools now in office out and vote some new fools in.  I believe that we'll see some politicians appealing to American home owners in the next Congressional election in 2010. 

There are not enough voters on Wall Street, just lots of money.  The American voter may see the light and vote for sensible politicians who focus on the American family.  Politicians with some common sense. 

I'm hoping.. . . . . . .

                 Homes for Sale in Maryland

                                     "Can we sell yet, Dear?"   "Not yet, Honey.  Maybe soon."

Courtesy, Lenn Harley, Broker, Homefinders.com, 800-711-7988, E-Mail.

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Comments(41)

Mike Klijanowicz
Cummings & Co. Realtors - Perry Hall, MD
Associate Broker @ Cummings & Co. Realtors

Most people who NEED to refinance because their mortgages have reset simply don't have the equity to do so.  The reason is they made it a stretch to get in on an interest only mortgage to begin with because they had no money.  Couple that with negative equity over the past 24 months or so and you have a recipe that simply doesn't work.  NOW on the other hand, those that have equity and are "fiscally responsible" (if that phrase sounds familiar it is because that is what OWE'MALLEY preached he was when running against Erhlick for Governor) with their money can benefit from the lower rates.  I locked in to refi my own mortgage a few weeks ago for 4.75% on a 30 year.  Not bad from 6.125% when I bought the home less than 2 years ago... 

Jan 01, 2009 01:41 AM
Ricki Eichler McCallum
CastNet Realty - Corpus Christi, TX
Broker,GRI,ABR, e-Pro, TAHS

You are so right.  The homeowner is the one that needs the help not Wall Street.

Jan 01, 2009 07:36 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Sally.  Enjoy it whenever you can.

Anne.  You make a good point.  The forces of supply and demand, basic market forces, no longer work.  The mortgage mess and concomitant melt down of the financial markets and housing crash have removed simple market forces from the housing industry.

Donna.  The only reason the banks don't offer relief to present home owners can only be because there is no profit motive for them to do so.  There are tax losses (benefits) that banks can use to offset and carry forward transaction losses like foreclosures.  Clearly, there is no tax benefit on the books for them to adjust a good loan.

June.  Another thing, what good are low interest rates if the house won't appraise?????

Jan 01, 2009 10:05 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Remo.  You put your finger on the #1 problem causing the bottle-neck in housing, the house will not appraise. 

However, while I believe that the interest rate on credit cards is legalized usury, that is discretionary.  Folks need to learn to pay for what they want and use less credit. 

Lane.  help the people facing foreclosure for their bad decisions,

I am not convinced that the average American home buyer in the past 7 years made bad decisions.  They were simply purchasing HOMES.  The burden to know everything about home values and mortgages cannot be placed on the consumer.  They are not the experts.

Tony.  HA!  Right you are.  However, the government cannot raise home values.  HOWEVER, they could finance the lowering of mortgage balances to market.  They, the government, have chosen to finance the fat cats on Wall Street.

Bonner.  Mark to market is the only thing that keeps the Wall Street gangs from inflating the stock value of the security they represent. 

I would have to think about it.  However, I believe I'd favor mark to market for residential real estate value.  IF, the mark to market applied to the mortgage balances and not just the estimated value of foreclosed properties. 

 

 

 

 

Jan 01, 2009 10:14 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Melissa.  Very nice.

Michael.  Now all you need is an appraisal.

Ricki.  Thank you.  You said it all.

 

Jan 01, 2009 10:17 PM
Sonja Adams
Keller Williams Realty - Purcellville, VA

Yep....buyers need to be able to buy homes and seller need to be realistic about their value....it does no good if the home won't appraise or if the buyer can't qualify in the first place...and I too agree that the next election will be very "telling"

Jan 02, 2009 12:32 AM
Lane Bailey
Century 21 Results Realty - Suwanee, GA
Realtor & Car Guy

Lenn, I agree and disagree.  But the fact remains that much of the problem we are facing goes back to people buying properties that they couldn't realistically afford.  They came in with marginal ability to pay, and didn't care.  They used loan products they didn't (or possibly couldn't) understand.  Thinking that they would always be able to get out for more and be ok was not a wise strategy. 

Of course, there is blame for the banks and other institutions (spelled G-O-V-E-R-N-M-E-N-T) that not only allowed, but encouraged it... 

But, the fact remains that there were a lot of people that made poor decisions.  It wasn't that they didn't understand values... it was that they just assumed they could only go up.  And our industry didn't bother to say anything but "sure!"

Jan 02, 2009 01:44 PM
Elizabeth Nieves
The Elizabeth Nieves Realty Group - Durham, NC
Bilingual Raleigh - Durham North Carolina Real Estate Team

Me too, Lenn! Although...I must say that I'm hopeful that the lower rates will make it easier for 1st time home buyers to get into the game. 

Happy New Year, my friend!!! May 2009 be THE YEAR that ALL YOUR DREAMS COME TRUE!! ~GBU~

Jan 02, 2009 04:38 PM
Kathy Clulow
Uxbridge, ON
Trusted For Experience - Respected For Results

Lenn - When will we ever learn that politicians will promise the sun and the moon all for a vote and then after being elected conveniently say you misunderstood what they were promising or that wow circumstances have changed and it's not their fault they can't deliver.

Jan 02, 2009 07:26 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Kathy.  I have circumvented all the political rhetoric and just look at their list of contributors.  Following the money is a better predictors of what they'll be doing.

Elizabeth.  Have you noticed that the lower rates go, the higher the qualifications get?

 

Jan 02, 2009 08:10 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Lane.  You wrote:  "They came in with marginal ability to pay, and didn't care." 

I dispute that premise. 

Jan 02, 2009 09:18 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Sonia.  That is fundamental.  Thanks.

Jan 02, 2009 09:19 PM
Gabrielle Kamahele Rhind
KGC Properties LLC, Tucson Property Management & Real Estate - Tucson, AZ
Broker/Owner

MORNING LENN...I am one of those people, sitting on the edge of my chair, hoping like heck my house will appraise - and that my credit score is high enough - and that I have enough reserves in the bank - and that I didn't spend too much over Christmas on the credit cards to raise eyebrows (and goodness knows - I hope they read carefully to see that $500 spent last week was on food - not a TV) - and that as I wait for my package to come out of underwriting with perhaps more conditions...I thought the same thing - so what on the low interest rate - all the hard working folks that called and wanted to buy a bigger house or refinance to take advantage of lower rates - didn't meet the criteria.  And I may not either.  So YES - let's hope more people get tired of saying "maybe soon" and vote for common sense. -- Happy New Year and thanks for making sense!  -- Gabrielle

Jan 02, 2009 11:18 PM
Roger Howell
Fairway Independent Mortgage Corporation NMLS #2289 - Boise, ID
We do business the Fair way!

You're absolutely right about the appraisal being the key to refinancing.  I haven't put much faith in the the lower rates to help most existing home owners.  Now my purchase clients are very happy, low rates and low prices. 

Jan 03, 2009 03:03 AM
Lane Bailey
Century 21 Results Realty - Suwanee, GA
Realtor & Car Guy

Lenn...  One of the things I like most about you is that I can respect you immensely and still (rarely) disagree with you.  Thank you. 

Jan 03, 2009 03:07 AM
John S.
RealtorRatingz.com - Canandaigua, NY

I suspect there are going to be a lot more "move down" buyers than "move up" buyers in the near future.  With unemployment rising, wages falling, less capital gain on the current house sale, and the new emphasis on frugality and responsibility, the days of always moving up are coming to a close.

Jan 03, 2009 08:23 AM
Christine Donovan
Donovan Blatt Realty - Costa Mesa, CA
Broker/Attorney 714-319-9751 DRE01267479 - Costa M

I can see your point about interest rates. There is so much that plays into where we are in the market and so many people who feel stuck and often are.

Jan 04, 2009 10:21 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Gabrielle.  Stay out of the mall!

Roger.  My experience lately is that no matter how low prices go, consumers want lower and no matter how low interest rates go, consumers want them lower.

Lane.  Same here.

John.  I don't see many "move down" buyers if they can't sell what they own.

Erica.  My experience precisely.

Christine.  Indeed.   There is an entire population of American home owners who are hostage to their mortgage balances. 

When folks forfeit on a property with negative equity, they're not "walking away", they're "escaping".

Mmmmm.  Got to write something about that.

 

Jan 04, 2009 11:30 PM
Marian Gregor-Ann
Keller Williams - Ann Arbor, MI
Arbor area Real Estate

Lenn, Lower rates are good if 1.Buyers credit meets or exceeds new lender criteria  2. Buyers are secure in their jobs and of course #3. An acceptable appraisal.  It pains me to see hardworking Americans struggle to keep current on their mortgage payments. I'm not talking about subprime buyers who really should have stayed renters. I'm talking about Mr & Mrs Smith who made a fair offer on a nice house in a lovely part of town. It's interesting to note how the bailout was completed oh so quickly.  Real estate is the backbone of this economy. Someone buys a house. They go to the garden center for new plants. The local tradesperson is hired to refinish the hardwood floors. On to painting rooms and perhaps new kitchen appliances. Maybe next summer they plan to install a new patio.  Here's hoping that we soon start to work our way out of this predicament.

Jan 05, 2009 10:06 AM
Christine McInerney
Great Life RE - Knoxville, TN
The McInerney Team, Knoxville TN Homes For Sale

My websites has been exploding with people searching for homes, but is way down in terms of people actually seriously ready/able to buy.

Jan 13, 2009 02:14 AM