Well, it’s a bit dreary out but for September 23rd, I’m not complaining one bit.
Rates have been bouncing around since last Wednesday to end up just a tad bit lower than this time last week.
We could see some volatility later today as the Federal Reserve will release their latest policy statement today. In tune with the past several statements, most economists are expecting the Fed to kept he Federal Funds rate unchanged. This leaves us with the current key interest rate of 3.25%. Investors will be looking for how the statement is worded to garner courage for their trading later in the day. This will ultimately determine which direction we see interest rates go this afternoon.
One misconception I have talked about in the past is something I always feel a need to revisit now and again as a reminder. Many outside of the industry tend to believe that there is a direct correlation between the key interest rate and mortgage rates. If the Federal Reserve lowered the key interest rate by .25%, the fixed mortgage rates would not lower by .25%. The fixed rates are more directly tied to mortgage backed securities and the price that these securities can fetch when being sold on the open market.
What would change would be a variable rate mortgage (such as a home equity line of credit from your local bank) because they tend to be tied to the key interest rate. The reason for this is with this type of loan, the bank that offers it to you is borrowing their money from the Federal Reserve if needed at 3.25%. Because they are not selling this line of credit to another bank, they are determining their interest rate based on what they have to pay to lend that money. So if your line of credit is currently 3.5% and the Federal Reserve lowered their rate by .25%, then you would most likely see your Line of Credit lower by that same .25% to 3.25%. This would work the same way if the Federal Reserve chose to raise the interest rate as well.
If you want a longer winded explanation, feel free to let me know!
Have a good week.
-Matt
30 year fixed: 5.00%
15 year fixed: 4.625%