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The Velocity Of Money On Interest Rates, What Is It?

By
Mortgage and Lending with George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages NMLS #65149

Yesterday I wrote a blog titled "What Is More Valuable The House Or The Interest Rate?"  to not only raise questions on the value of a property, but it also introduced the affects of Interest Rates on the value of the property.  This blog "The Velocity Of Money On Interest Rates, What Is It?" goes into what drives the Interest Rates, and therefore the impact on property values. I wrote about "The Velocity Of Money" last year, and I think that this topic brings the concept of yesterday's "What Is More Valuable The House Or The Interest Rate?"   even more to light.

Most of us have all heard the terms Personal Spending and Personal Income, and even though we might not completely understand what they mean, we do know that Personal Spending and Personal Income impact our lives and economy. What most people do not realize is that Personal Spending and Personal Income also influence home mortgage Interest Rates.  Personal Spending and Personal Income play a role in the Interest Rates that will be available at the time a home is purchased or refinanced.  

The reason that Personal Spending and Personal Income impacts Interest Rates is because of a financial concept called "The Velocity Of Money". Anyone who listens to the news, knows that the government has put a lot of money into the economy in recent years.  But even though the government has put all this money into the economy, it does not have any effect until the money is actually spent, or in the case of mortgages, lent to a Borrower.  The time that it takes for the money to go from the consumer or borrower, to a business or Lender, is called the "The Velocity Of Money".

The ability to have money to spend depends on the Employment Rate.  If people are working they have money to spend, it they are not working then they are very hesitant to spend. The same is true for businesses, if consumers are not spending money, then businesses are not making the money they need to invest and improve their business.  When this happens "The Velocity Of Money" slows down, which results in low inflation, which in turn results in low Interest Rates.    

Many people are not aware of this, because most are under the impression that Interest Rates are tied into the Fed Rate, when in fact they are tied to the Bond Market, which is impacted by inflation.   The lower the inflation, the better Bonds perform, and that creates low interest rates.   The opposite happens when "The Velocity Of Money" increases.  The additional spending creates inflation, which has a negative effect on the Bond Market, and as a result an increase in Interest Rates. 

To put this in simpler terms, a slow or bad economy means low Interest Rates, and a good economy means higher Interest Rates.  For those that read my blog yesterday "What Is More Valuable The House Or The Interest Rate?" and followed the scenario that I gave, low Interest Rates increase purchasing power, which in turn should enable homebuyers to purchase high price homes, and therefore increase "The Velocity Of Money"

The economy will not stay in its present condition forever, and sooner or later it will begin to improve, and bring about higher interest rates.  This means that now is a perfect time for those that can purchase a home, or need to refinance to do so.  It would be a shame if those who have the money to purchase a new home today, missed out on the opportunity to take advantage of the impact that The Velocity Of Money On Interest Rates is having on Interest Rates today by waiting too long.  Now is the perfect time to purchase and maximize the purchasing power that has been produced by The Velocity Of Money Has Had On Interest Rates


Original Blog .... Velocity Of Money & Interest Rates, June 17, 2011

 

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 Info about the author:

George Souto is a Loan Officer who can assist you with all your FHA, CHFA, and Conventional mortgage needs in Connecticut. George resides in Middlesex County which includes Middletown, Middlefield, Durham, Cromwell, Portland, Higganum, Haddam, East Haddam, Chester, Deep River, and Essex. George can be contacted at (860) 573-1308 or gsouto@mccuemortgage.com

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George Souto
NMLS# 65149

C (860) 573-1308
CALL 7 Days/Wk
Fax (860) 760-6891

Email Me
About Me
My Blog

I am a Mortgage Loan Officer who can assist you with all your mortgage & refinancing needs in
CT, and RI

I can assist you with your Conventional,
FHA, CHFA, VA, USDA, & 203K loan programs.

I reside in Middlesex County which includes Middletown, Middlefield, Durham, Cromwell, Portland, Haddam. E. Haddam, Higganum, Chester, Essex, Deep River.

 

Comments(12)

Christina Sanchez Hood
Palo Alto, CA
#SiliconValleyHOODS | Inspired Living
George, your post is most informative and I greatly appreciate the simplicity of your explanation of why now is a great time to buy a home. I will follow up and read the other posts mentioned in your post. Thanks for being so informative :) May 2013 be your best year yet!
Dec 25, 2012 04:57 PM
Joe Petrowsky
Mortgage Consultant, Right Trac Financial Group, Inc. NMLS # 2709 - Manchester, CT
Your Mortgage Consultant for Life

There is no better time to buy a home. No one truly knows how long these rates will be as low as they currently are, but it sure does look like they will stay a these levels for a while.

Great job with the post!

Dec 25, 2012 05:31 PM
Bob Miller
Keller Williams Cornerstone Realty - Ocala, FL
The Ocala Dream Team

Hi George, thaks for the great refresher from our economics class.  We also have written how when interest rates go up, the effective cost of a home goes up.  And for sellers, creates a smaller pool of buyers.

Dec 25, 2012 06:32 PM
Ginny Gorman
RI Real Estate Services ~ 401-529-7849~ RI Waterfront Real Estate - North Kingstown, RI
Homes for Sale in Southern RI and beyond

George, this is an informative post for the consumer to understand why rates are so low and yes, it is so important if you are thinking of buying a home to get off the fence and do it now.

Dec 25, 2012 07:52 PM
Debbie Gartner
The Flooring Girl - White Plains, NY
The Flooring Girl & Blog Stylist -Dynamo Marketers

Great post, George.  I never heard the term velocity of money, but I certainly do understand the concept.  Yes, the key is, if you have the money to spend now, do it.  You will get the best return and lock things down for a long time.  The irony, though, is that lots of people don't, so they can't...and when they will have the money (when things improve), the rates will increase).

Dec 25, 2012 08:08 PM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Christina, glad you found the blog easy to read, and hope that the information in it is helpful with your clients.

Joe it does appear that way, but we both know that could change quickly and then we will be standing around saying "do you remember when the rates were????"

Bob, it is important that Buyers realize that, and why it is important to purchase sooner than later.

Ginny there are a number of fence sitters, and they need to understand that waiting could reduce their buying power.

Debbie yes that is the irony for those that are not able to purchase now, but for those that can waiting can be costly for them.

Dec 25, 2012 10:01 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

George, great information to explain these terms, and think Denver used many of those loans. 

Dec 25, 2012 10:17 PM
Linda Piper
Planatek Financial, Inc. - Ventura, CA

George:  this article together with your "Which is More Valuable..." article are very nice, clear illustrations of why anyone who is ready to purchase a home should do it now...thank you!

Dec 25, 2012 10:42 PM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Joan, the term is new to even many in this industry so hopefully this blog helped to understand it.

Linda, thank you that was my intent, and I am glad to hear that it came across that way.

Dec 26, 2012 12:12 AM
Paul McFadden
Responsive Pest Control - Seattle, WA
Pest Control, Seattle, WA.

George: Thank you. You are becoming quite the featured blogger along with my other friend, Gene Mundt. I hope you had a very Merry Christmas and extend it into the New Year!

Dec 26, 2012 04:51 AM
Nancy Laswick
United Real Estate - Phoenix, AZ
Your REALTOR® For The Valley Of The Sun

Thanks for sharing George. Your explanation on "The Velocity of Money" and your post on "Which is More Valuable" should help many potential home buyers jump off the fence and get in the game. Re-blogged.

Dec 26, 2012 05:45 AM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Paul thank you and I hope the same for you and your family.

Nancy thank you and glad you found the information worthy of being past on to your reader.

Dec 26, 2012 05:55 AM