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Mortgage Rate Update 1-29-14: Trends & Projections

By
Mortgage and Lending with CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

 

 

Ahead of today's Fed announcement, the emerging markets have stolen the spotlight. The combination of slower growth in China and reduced Fed bond purchases could lead to trouble for emerging markets such as Turkey and South Africa, and these concerns have dragged down global stock markets. Investors have shifted to relatively safer assets, including MBS. The Dow is down 110 points. No economic data will be released today.

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back over 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  To make things easier, I have also posted a quick report on How To Read The Charts Below.

Also, make sure to learn THE TOP 10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES (to help understand the relationship between rates & fees/credits) along with THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES (to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns). Remember, we all make better decisions in life when we have the actual facts to analyze...share this report with those whom you care about!

San Diego Mortgage Rates - Jason Gordon - www.JasonGordonMortgage.com

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Wednesday 1-29-2014 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Tuesday with a WORSENING to pricing. Tuesday's WORSENING netted a change of 3 basis points (bps).

(Note: Upward activity on these charts is GOOD, downward activity is BAD)

Best Mortgage Rates In San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart summarizes todays market activity:

Best Mortgage Rates In San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

 Best Mortgage Rates In San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

Best Mortgage Rates In San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Best Mortgage Rates In San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trenerry)

FNMA
Cpn 3.0 Chg 0.2656 Bid 96.76563
Cpn 3.5 Chg 0.2656 Bid 101.14063
Cpn 4.0 Chg 0.2188 Bid 104.56250

 

Treasury
UST 5 YR Chg 0.1953 Bid 99.9406 Yield 1.5180
UST 10 YR Chg 0.3125 Bid 100.28125 Yield 2.7170
UST 30 YR Chg 0.4219 Bid 101.73438 Yield 3.6540

 

Currency
Euro Bid 1.3657 Chg -0.0012
Pound Bid 1.6555 Chg -0.0023
Yen Bid 102.190 Chg -0.760
Light Crude
Last 96.64

 

Key Economic Data:
Mortgage Market
Index: Actual 403.4, Last 404.1.
Purchase: Actual 187.6, Last 184.8.
Refinance: Actual 1645.2, Last 1682.1.
30-yr rate: Actual 4.52%, Last 4.57%.
11:00: Fed funds rate.
11:oo: QE
Total: Last 75.00b.
MBS: Last 35.00b.
Treasuries: Last 40.0b.

 

Advice:
Treasuries rose, pushing 10-year note yields down from the highest level in four days, on haven demand amid concern emerging-markets weakness remains an issue after Turkeys lira declined even after the central bank raised interest rates. Benchmark 10-year yields dropped for the first time in three days before a Federal Reserve policy announcement projected to include further cuts to bond purchases. The lira erased an advance even after Turkish policy makers doubled the main interest rate at an emergency late-night meeting. Its the fear trade, said Thomas Roth, senior Treasury trader in New York at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities USA Inc. The lira give up its gains this morning. Its the panic that this is going to become a contagion. Guys are buying Treasuries on the back of that. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note fell three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 2.72 percent at 9:01 a.m. New York time. The price of the 2.75 percent note due in November 2023 added 1/4, or $2.50 per $1,000 face amount, to 100 1/4. The yield had climbed as much as four basis points.

 

My position on MBS
Short term Neutral.
Long term Short.

Market Commentary (Dan Rawitch)

Nice bond rally so far this morning. The Dow is off over 100 points, which is fueling another Flight to Safety day. I would not expect a break out of the channel OR out of the very strong resistance point until the market gets a look at tomorrows GDP. The Fed will announce their meeting results today at 2:00 Eastern. I would not expect any interest rate or tapering changes, so it will come down to what Yellen our new Fed Chairman has to say about the Feds view of the economy. Any big surprises could stir volitility ahead of tomorrows GDP.

 

Be very careful at these levels. If we fail to break through current resistance on top of any bond unfriendly surprises and we are set up for a big fall. If we break through...the opposite is true. This is the Danger zone.

 

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Mortgage Rates - Jason Gordon - www.JasonGordonMortgage.com

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity. All Market Commentary is provided via The Mortgage Coach and/or their RateWatch technology software.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.GordonMortgage.com or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's best mortgage rates

Ronald DiLalla
Century 21 Discovery DRE 01813824 - Anaheim, CA
No. Orange Cty Real Estate

Hi Jason, thanks for your recent update.  Alwasy enjoy it and thanks for sharing it.

Jan 29, 2014 04:00 AM
Bill Reddington
Re/max By The Sea - Destin, FL
Destin Florida Real Estate

Very interesting time. Think interest rates will be low for awhile longer. Lots of uncertainty out there.

Jan 29, 2014 04:11 AM
John Pusa
Glendale, CA

Jason - Thank you for the excellent information about mortgage rate update January 29, 2014.

Jan 29, 2014 06:36 AM
Jimmy Faulkner
Florida. Homes Realty & Mortgage - Wantagh, NY
The Best Of St. Augustine

Superb post on an industry that need defining for the average buyer, seller and realtor. It can get very complicated doing a mortgage and this post was a good eye opener.

Jan 29, 2014 12:57 PM
Jason E. Gordon
CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA - San Diego, CA
Sr Loan Officer, CMA, CMPS, CDLP, CDRE, RCSD, CDPE
Thanks everyone! These articles are intended to shed light & transparency on a topic that is constantly manipulated by deceptive advertisements.
Jan 29, 2014 03:26 PM