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Online valuation analysis of a home - how accurate are they?

Reblogger Joan Cox
Real Estate Broker/Owner with House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 DRE# ER40011786

 

Many Sellers do their own research to find the value of their home when they are contemplating a sale.    They look on-line and recording the sales of the homes nearby to see how close they can come to the actual value.     Finding the Zillow zestimate is really a crap shoot --- even their web site says they could be way off     Jim did a great job in this post, and hopefully lets the homeowners know to call a REALTOR® to find the true value of their home!

 

Please be sure to comment on Jim's post.

 

 

 

 

Original content by Jim Paulson DB-17066

My clients are always asking me about the accuracy of their “online evaluations”.  After reading several articles about the least expensive home in San Francisco (16 De Long Street offered at $350,000, I decided to pull up various online web portals that offer price estimates to see what their predictions were.  It was listed for $350,000 and sold for $408,000 after receiving multiple offers! It was listed for $350,000 and sold for $408,000 after receiving multiple offers!

Here are a few screen shots from various websites showing their estimates for 16 De Long Street, San Francisco, CA:

 

ZipRealty:


The moral of my story is if online valuations were even close to accurate, the banks wouldn’t request a bank appraisal for their mortgage loans.  Also, if online valuations were accurate, you wouldn’t need an appraiser’s license either, you could just attend a webinar and call yourself a professional.

For example, Zillow.com shows their margin of error for their Zestimates.  You should check out the accuracy they claim in your market area.  You will see that here in Idaho, they give themselves only a 1 out of 4 star rating since they admit “ = Tax assessor's value, or unable to compute Zestimate accuracy”.

 

Please take online valuations with a grain of salt and dismiss price per square foot analysis while you are at it.  You really need to look at the type of property, it’s condition, if it is currently the highest and best use for the property, factor in the depreciation and determine cost benefits of remodeling, etc. to determine the market value based on all of the above!

Jim Paulson, CRS, AHWD, EcoBroker, GRI, SRES, ePRO, SFR
Owner/Broker - Progressive Realty Corporation
Specializing in Boise Idaho Real Estate
http://www.IdahoMLStours.com
Http://www.Progressive-Realty.info

Posted by

Joan Cox
Broker/Owner, REALTOR®
House to Home, Inc.

Serving the Denver Metro area including all suburbs


Helping Buyers and Sellers achieve their real estate dreams, one house at a time!

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Comments(19)

Carla Freund
Keller Williams Preferred Realty - Raleigh, NC
NC Real Estate Transition & Relocation 919-602-848

Hey Joan, You're so correct. I had someone tell me he used Z to list his house. I was speechless! Even they would tell you not to do that!

May 05, 2016 10:06 PM
Sarah Rummage
Benchmark Realty LLC, Nashville TN 615.516.5233 - Nashville, TN
Love Being Realtor® in the Nashville TN Area!

I am always curious to see the value Z gives the house, but in a fast changing market, it is off more often than not. Condition and recent renovations sometimes play more of a part than sales in the neighborhood. 

May 05, 2016 10:11 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Carla, some of those Zestimates are close to a $100,000 off!  

May 05, 2016 10:36 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Sarah % John, many times they do not even have the right amount of bedrooms and bathrooms!  

May 05, 2016 10:37 PM
Erica Love
Brokers Guild Cherry Creek - Colorado Springs, CO

I find it interesting to see what Z says. My own house is off by $80,000. It makes no sense, I cannot even find any homes near mine to justify that value.

May 05, 2016 10:54 PM
Roy Kelley
Retired - Gaithersburg, MD

This is an excellent selection for a reblog. Current comps in the community will tell the real story.

May 05, 2016 10:56 PM
Anita Clark
Coldwell Banker Access Realty ~ 478.960.8055 - Warner Robins, GA
Realtor - Homes for Sale in Warner Robins GA

Joan: Very good re-blog choice. These online tools are occasionally right but more often than not in my area they do not hit the mark.

May 05, 2016 11:14 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Erica, I have seen many homes that far off.  

May 05, 2016 11:29 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Roy, the real value will be determinated by the REALTOR.

May 05, 2016 11:29 PM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Anita, interesting the values are closer in your area.

May 05, 2016 11:30 PM
Bill Roberts
Brooks and Dunphy Real Estate - Oceanside, CA
"Baby Boomer" Retirement Planner

Hi Joan Cox This is an issue that just won't go away. As a matter-of-fact, it will probably get worse over time.

Bill Roberts

May 06, 2016 12:19 AM
Brian England
Ambrose Realty Management LLC - Gilbert, AZ
MBA, GRI, REALTOR® Real Estate in East Valley AZ

I don't put much stock into them, as they rarely seem accurate.  I heard that the owner of Zillow sold his home for 40% less than what the Zestimate was, haha.

May 06, 2016 12:26 AM
Amanda S. Davidson
Amanda Davidson Real Estate Group Brokered By Real - Alexandria, VA
Alexandria Virginia Homes For Sale

Joan, I don't think I've seen an estimate that's correct yet. I do see a lot of sellers referencing them but, then when they see the real comps they realize how off they are. It should be a red flag when the website itself says they could be way off!

May 06, 2016 12:36 AM
Lawrence "Larry" & Sheila Agranoff. Cell: 631-805-4400
The Top Team @ Charles Rutenberg Realty 255 Executive Dr, Plainview NY 11803 - Plainview, NY
Long Island Condo and Home Specialists

Want to make a mistake in selling a home. Take the advice of "Z" and know what NOT to sell it for!

May 06, 2016 01:39 AM
Nina Hollander, Broker
Coldwell Banker Realty - Charlotte, NC
Your Greater Charlotte Realtor

All these site now provide an AVM, Joan. They all provide different numbers. And usually all the numbers aren't quite right!

May 06, 2016 02:54 AM
Jeff Dowler, CRS
eXp Realty of California, Inc. - Carlsbad, CA
The Southern California Relocation Dude

Joan

I was just discussing online home valuations with someone the other day and how wrong they can be. Zillow is just one example. I did my own study a couple of years ago and looked at sales prices - Z was off, often bigtime, in almost all the cases, and by thousands of dollars. Despite that their Zestimate is viewed by consumers as a cool tool

Jeff

May 06, 2016 04:12 AM
Gita Bantwal
RE/MAX Centre Realtors - Warwick, PA
REALTOR,ABR,CRS,SRES,GRI - Bucks County & Philadel

I love th epost. Thank you for reblogging . I will bookmark it.

May 06, 2016 08:40 PM
Gabe Sanders
Real Estate of Florida specializing in Martin County Residential Homes, Condos and Land Sales - Stuart, FL
Stuart Florida Real Estate

Great choice for a re-blog, Joan.  If only more people would understand the limitations of on-line valuations.

May 06, 2016 08:50 PM
Ginny Gorman
RI Real Estate Services ~ 401-529-7849~ RI Waterfront Real Estate - North Kingstown, RI
Homes for Sale in Southern RI and beyond

Joan, I only like them when they are showing higher zestimates than what I list it for...

May 06, 2016 09:30 PM